NBC Sports Rotoworld on Chris Bell
ArticleCarnell Tate, Isaac TeSlaa headline Week 5's Regression Files
From the article
Seventy-eight percent of the young man's air yards have been deemed inaccurate... Over the past two games he's run a route on 71 percent of the Dolphins' drop backs and leads the team in air yards... Negative game script against the superior Bengals in Week 5 should juice pass (and air yard) volume for both Bell and Washington.
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STACKED’s take
Positive signalBreakout
Bell's 78% prayer yards rate and league-leading route share suggest positive regression upside.
Bell has a 78 percent prayer yards rate through Week 4, the highest documented, but over the past two games has run a route on 71 percent of the Dolphins' drop backs and leads the team in air yards; only five players have more unconverted air yards than Bell. Malik Willis is 9 percent below his expected completion rate (Jameis Winston is the only QB lower), and Miami's offense leads the league with a 61 percent prayer yards rate. Negative game script against the superior Bengals in Week 5 should juice pass and air yard volume for Bell, making him an ultra high-variance but potentially interesting option in deeper formats.
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