Turf Show Times on Matthew Stafford

ArticleNFL analyst: Stafford has been ‘weird’ this season
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Stafford's been weird to me this year... The Eagles ran just a bunch of cover-2 and cover-6, and it wasn't like the Rams were like, 'Here come the digs, here come the in-breakers' like I've seen him do against those coverages before. Everything was outside and vertical... but now Stafford's just not really throwing over the middle.
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Stafford's passer rating down to 80.5; throwing intermediate middle at 6.5%, lowest in years.

Stafford's 2026 season has been markedly different from his 2025 MVP campaign; his passer rating has dropped from 109.2 to 80.5 through four games, and he's thrown six interceptions and six touchdowns. According to Nate Tice, the core issue is a significant shift in offensive attack: Stafford is throwing to the intermediate middle (10–22 yards downfield between the numbers) at only 6.5% of attempts this season, one of the lowest marks in the NFL, compared to 11.5% last year and 14% in 2021. Additionally, he's targeting receivers just 48% of the time versus 61.5% last season and 73% in 2024. Tice attributes this to a more vertical and outside-focused scheme that doesn't effectively attack cover-2 and cover-6 looks, limiting the Rams' ability to generate yards after the catch and explosive plays.

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