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ArticleSuper Bowl contenders: are the NFL’s unbeaten teams as perfect as they seem?
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Buffalo's defense has allowed the most yards per game (386.8) of anyone in the league, bar the leaky Lions. One key metric – stopping teams on third down – suggests they are in for a rough ride against elite opposition in the playoffs.
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Negative signalProjection

Allen's elite offense offset by league-worst defense; third-down stops worsening.

Josh Allen cannot play both ways; while he controls a high-scoring offense, Buffalo's defense has allowed the most yards per game (386.8) of anyone in the league except the Lions. The Bills' third-down defense has progressively worsened from 36% success against them in Week 2 to 58% against the Raiders last Sunday, well above the NFL average of 40%, suggesting they will struggle against elite playoff opposition.

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