Windy City Gridiron on Caleb Williams
From the article
Williams landed almost directly on his season average in EPA/dropback... His aDOT sat at 8.1 yards in 2024 and climbed to 8.9 in 2025, clearly establishing him as a quarterback willing to attack downfield.
STACKED’s take
Williams' +0.25 EPA/dropback ranks fourth-best; aDOT dip doesn't erase downfield willingness.
Williams landed almost directly on his season average in EPA/dropback at +0.25, which would have been his fourth-best single-game result of 2025 trailing only Dallas (+0.80), San Francisco (+0.39), and Cincinnati (+0.38). His aDOT has hovered around four yards or lower in his last two starts, but this doesn't match his established profile; his aDOT sat at 8.1 yards in 2024 and climbed to 8.9 in 2025, clearly establishing him as a quarterback willing to attack downfield. One of those low-aDOT games came in miserable weather against Brian Flores and an historically aggressive Minnesota defense, while the other ended with Williams throwing for 305 yards at 8.5 yards per attempt while completing 83.3% of his passes.
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