Yahoo Sports NFL on Matthew Stafford
From the article
Matthew Stafford (at LV) - 20 proj. points. Stafford continues to sling it at high volume, ranking second in the league with 299 passing yards per game. But he's not playing nearly as well and is currently the QB16 on the season with an EPA per dropback ranking of QB17.
STACKED’s take
Stafford QB9 with 20 proj. points; declining efficiency despite high volume, Adams loss.
Stafford is ranked QB9 for Week 7 with 20 projected points. While he continues to sling it at high volume, ranking second in the league with 299 passing yards per game, he's not playing nearly as well and is currently QB16 on the season with an EPA per dropback ranking of QB17. Part of the issue has been a big decrease in explosive play rates tied to a shrinking 20+ air-yard attempt rate, from 18% (third) last year to just 11% (23rd) this year. This is attributed to a speed-at-pass-catcher issue, an outlier high screen rate on late downs, and more reliance on Kyren Williams in the pass game. Losing Davante Adams for 10-ish weeks further complicates their problems. He draws a Raiders defense allowing the fifth-most half PPR points per game to QBs (22.5). Las Vegas was tagged for 374 yards and four passing scores by Drake Maye two weeks ago. The Rams head on the road as 4.5-point road favorites with a 26-point team total (fifth).
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