Footballguys on James Conner

ArticleDynasty, in Theory: 13 Theses on Variance
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James Conner, despite being less consistent and less productive (9th overall, 16.73 points per game), still outscored Gibbs in 10 out of 15 games that season. Conner wasn't inconsistent because he had a lot of bad games mixed in with a few huge ones. He was inconsistent because he had a lot of good games mixed in with a few duds.

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Conner outscored more consistent, higher-PPG Gibbs in 10 of 15 games in 2024.

Conner ranked 9th overall in PPG (16.73) in 2024 and outscored the #2 back Jahmyr Gibbs in 10 out of 15 games despite lower consistency and lower average production. Conner's inconsistency stemmed from having many good games mixed with a few duds, not the typical boom-bust profile; this pattern of frequent outperformance against more consistent, more productive peers demonstrates that inconsistency does not penalize weekly performance.

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