Niners Nation on Kaelon Black

Article49ers turnovers drastically swung their win probability against the Falcons
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San Francisco's win probability peaked at 80% when they took a 14-3 lead after Kaelon Black's 30-yard touchdown run to begin the game... Kaelon Black's fumble dropped its win probability to 68%.
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Negative signalUsage

Black's early TD run peaked 49ers' win probability, but his fumble cost them the game.

Kaelon Black scored on a 30-yard touchdown run early in the game, pushing San Francisco's win probability to 80% at 14-3, but later fumbled, which dropped the Niners' win probability to 68%. The fumble was part of a critical turnover sequence that cost the 49ers the game; even removing the two fourth-quarter turnovers (Black's and Jordan James' fumbles) leaves 10-14 points off the board.

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