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FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast on George Pickens

PodcastWeek 6 Fantasy Football Key Questions: Must-Start Sleepers, Injury Replacements...
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i'm lower than ecr and will probably remain that way on george pickens...his splits versus uh single high and two high have been massive...packers are running it at the fifth highest rate almost 63 other percent of the defensive snaps...versus two high this year george pickens his target per route run rate drops to 15 and his yards per route run drop uh to 1.59
Mentioned at 55:31 – 55:37

STACKED’s take

Negative signalMatchup

Pickens' production craters vs. two-high; Packers' 63% two-high rate creates fade.

The source is fading Pickens relative to ECR, ranking him lower due to a schematic matchup concern. Pickens has shown massive splits versus single-high and two-high coverage; against the Packers, who run two-high coverage at the fifth-highest rate (almost 63% of defensive snaps), Pickens' target per route run rate drops to 15% and his yards per route run drops to 1.59. This two-high coverage scheme significantly reduces Pickens' production, similar to his DK Metcalf-type usage pattern with large single-high/two-high splits.

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