Fantasy Life Articles on Justin Jefferson

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Justin Jefferson (Vikings) at Lions: This season, the Vikings defense is stealing the show from Jefferson. His underlying usage is still good (36% air yard share, 50% end zone target share), as is his efficiency (9.7 yards per target), but his production has fallen off (12.1 fantasy points per game, 23-302-3 receiving, 31 targets). Still, this might be a spot where he's able to do damage, as the Lions are No. 30 in defensive pass DVOA vs. No. 1 WRs (34.1%). Over the past five years, the Lions have had the league's No. 2 HFA (+7.69, per NFElo), and this is their second straight home game, but the Vikings have cut their home edge to the core because they play in division on a similar turf surface in a similar indoor stadium. Plus, divisional road dogs tend to be sharp (752-641-37 ATS, 4.8% ROI), QB Kyler Murray as a road dog has been exceptional (29-13-2 ATS, 32.2% ROI), and the Lions could be without CB Ennis Rakestraw (ankle) on top of FS Kerby Joseph (knee, PUP).
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Jefferson upgraded at Lions; elite matchup with strong underlying usage.

Jefferson is upgraded for Week 8 at the Lions due to the indoor environment and favorable matchup. His underlying usage remains strong (36% air yard share, 50% end zone target share) and efficiency is solid (9.7 yards per target), though production has fallen (12.1 fantasy points per game, 23-302-3 receiving, 31 targets). The Lions rank No. 30 in defensive pass DVOA vs. No. 1 WRs (34.1%). The Vikings are a divisional road dog (752-641-37 ATS, 4.8% ROI) and play in a similar indoor stadium on similar turf. The Lions could be without CB Ennis Rakestraw (ankle) and FS Kerby Joseph (knee, PUP).

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