NBC Sports Rotoworld on Caleb Douglas
ArticleA.J. Brown, Jalen Coker headline Week 8's Regression Files
From the article
Last week's box score explosion against the Jets saw Douglas score 21 fantasy points. His expected fantasy output: 8.3 points, or 54th among wideouts on the week. Miami's offense has (smartly) gone ultra-turbo-giga run heavy over the team's past couple games.
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Douglas's 21-point game vs. Jets was unsustainable; Dolphins' run-heavy approach limits upside.
Douglas scored 21 fantasy points in Week 7 against the Jets, but his expected fantasy output was only 8.3 points (54th among wideouts that week), indicating unsustainable after-the-catch production. Miami's offense has gone ultra-run-heavy over the past couple games, running nearly 10 percent below expected pass rate against the Jets. The Dolphins rank 25th in total team air yards per game since Week 5, leaving Douglas and other Dolphins wideouts unlikely to see reliable target and air yards volume.
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