From the episode
Kyler Murray under 30 and a half pass attempts...Kyler Murray's only gone over this number one time in his three starts so far this season where he has played the full game...Minnesota has been bottom eight and pass rate and pass rate over expectations so far this season.
STACKED’s take
Murray under 30.5 pass attempts; only gone over once in three starts, Vikings lean run-heavy.
The source targets Kyler Murray under 30.5 pass attempts against the Colts, rated five stars by the betting pros prop cheat sheet. Murray has only gone over this number once in three full starts this season. His scrambling ability reduces passing attempts. Only one QB (Patrick Mahomes in overtime) has attempted more than 31 passes against the Colts this year. The Colts defense ranks bottom-five overall and allows 30 seconds EPA per rush. Minnesota ranks bottom-eight in pass rate and pass rate over expectations, and with running backs healthy (Mason returning from IR, Aaron Jones available), the Vikings are likely to lean on the ground game rather than force Murray to drop back 31+ times. Recent QBs against the Colts: Cam Ward 22, Rogers 31, Stroud 27, Mahomes 47, Lamar Jackson 25.
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