FFin60 on A.J. Brown

Brown's 18.2 ADP is too steep for a 29-year-old in a new system with declining efficiency.

Brown is rising to an 18.2 ADP (up 6.2%), but Justin Herzig is fading at this price. Despite being a stud, Brown is a soon-to-be 29-year-old who just changed teams and must build chemistry from scratch with Drake Maye in a run-leaning offense. His yards per route run fell 31% from 3.00 in 2024 to 2.07 in 2025, a decline partly attributed to team drama. Projections top out around 1,200 yards and seven scores—fine but not league-winning at top-seven WR cost. Worst of all, title-deciding weeks pit him against nasty pass defenses: @KC, @NYJ, and home vs DEN.

A.J. BrownWR · NEPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight