Footballguys on Trevor Lawrence
ArticleQuality Quarterbacks Run Deep: The Fantasy Notebook
From the article
Lawrence's nine rushing scores more than doubled his combined output the previous two seasons. As SI.com's Michael Fabiano pointed out last week, when you look at the list of quarterbacks who have rushed for at least nine touchdowns in a season since 2000, of which there are only eight (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), Lawrence looks like an outlier.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalBust
Lawrence's 9 rushing TDs likely regress; only 8 QBs since 2000 have matched that.
Lawrence's nine rushing TDs in 2025 more than doubled his combined output from the previous two seasons. SI.com's Michael Fabiano and Footballguys' Jason Wood both flag regression risk: only eight QBs since 2000 have rushed for 9+ TDs in a season (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), making Lawrence an outlier. Wood recommends cutting rushing TD projections in half as a baseline, though Lawrence should remain a high-volume passer and rusher given his top-10 finishes in both attempts over four full seasons.
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