Footballguys on Trevor Lawrence

ArticleQuality Quarterbacks Run Deep: The Fantasy Notebook
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At his current QB11 Average Draft Position (ADP) and seventh-round price, fantasy investors don't need Lawrence to repeat as QB4 to return value -- even if I still like his chances of hitting it. Lawrence goes into the season as QB5 on my own Footballguys rankings.

STACKED’s take

Positive signalValue

Lawrence at QB11 ADP offers value even with rushing TD regression expected.

Despite regression concerns on rushing TDs, Lawrence is priced as QB11 ADP in the seventh round, well below his QB4 finish. Underrated Quarterbacks ranks him QB5 on Footballguys rankings. Even with regression, he should remain a high-volume passer and rusher, and his second season with Coen (who has a notoriously complex system that laid the foundation in 2025) offers trajectory upside. A deep group of talented pass catchers with demonstrated chemistry provides further confidence. At current price, Lawrence doesn't need to repeat QB4 to return value.

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