PositiveProjectionSat, August 1, 2026
Goedert's TE9 ADP overvalues TD regression; expect top-15 finish, not TE7 repeat.
Dallas GoedertTEPHI
The source rates Goedert as overvalued at Round 9 (TE9 ADP). Last season, Goedert posted a career-high 60 receptions and 11 touchdowns to finish as TE7, but he scored once every 7.5 targets—an incredibly high mark for a tight end and more than twice his previous career rate. The source views this as an outlier that will regress; after seven seasons of middling fantasy output, a repeat performance is unlikely. With A.J. Brown gone, much of his target share was preemptively backfilled by rookie receiver Makai Lemon, and the source has concerns about Jalen Hurts' overall efficiency. Goedert should finish in the top 15 at his position but shouldn't be drafted ahead of Tucker Kraft, Jake Ferguson, and Mark Andrews in the tight end dead zone.
View Dallas Goedert 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
He hit that TD mark by scoring once every 7.5 targets, an incredibly high mark for a tight end and more than twice as often as his previous career rate. Touchdowns are unpredictable in the NFL, and that kind of outlier production is almost always followed by regression.
Common questions
Dallas Goedert fantasy football FAQ
- What did NFL.com News say about Dallas Goedert?
- The source rates Goedert as overvalued at Round 9 (TE9 ADP). Last season, Goedert posted a career-high 60 receptions and 11 touchdowns to finish as TE7, but he scored once every 7.5 targets—an incredibly high mark for a tight end and more than twice his previous career rate. The source views this as an outlier that will regress; after seven seasons of middling fantasy output, a repeat performance is unlikely. With A.J. Brown gone, much of his target share was preemptively backfilled by rookie receiver Makai Lemon, and the source has concerns about Jalen Hurts' overall efficiency. Goedert should finish in the top 15 at his position but shouldn't be drafted ahead of Tucker Kraft, Jake Ferguson, and Mark Andrews in the tight end dead zone.
- Is this good or bad for Dallas Goedert's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a positive fantasy football signal for Dallas Goedert (TE PHI). Goedert's TE9 ADP overvalues TD regression; expect top-15 finish, not TE7 repeat.
- Where can I see Dallas Goedert's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Dallas Goedert's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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