Yahoo Sports NFL on Matthew Stafford

Stafford's nine INTs in 2025 benefited from luck; regression likely in 2026.

Stafford threw nearly seven fewer interceptions than expected in 2025 according to PFF's interception modeling; two came from turnover-worthy plays and 4.5 were purely good fortune through non-turnover-worthy throws where nothing went wrong. With nine interceptions, he should have been closer to 16 when all said and done. Additionally, opposing defenders dropped nine of Stafford's would-be interceptions. The source identifies this as an area where Stafford is due for regression in 2026, and notes that even if he plays just as well, worse interception totals could derail another MVP campaign and spoil LA's Super Bowl expectations.

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