From the episode
Daniel Jones was far better at hitting the deep ball last year than we've seen throughout his career... Daniel Jones coming off his Achilles injury... Daniel Jones went to his first read on 100% of his attempts over 20 plus yards last year, which is a wild number.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Jones' deep-ball accuracy unsustainable; Achilles injury adds regression risk.
Jones' 2025 deep-ball accuracy (hitting first read on 100% of 20+ yard attempts) was anomalous and likely unsustainable; he is recovering from an Achilles injury, which raises concerns about whether he can maintain that efficiency. If his deep-ball accuracy regresses or teams adjust coverage based on his predictable first-read tendencies, receivers like Alec Pierce who benefited from his deep-ball volume will see reduced production.
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