From the video

Video: Top Guy Tuesday Mailbag - Training Camp Crystal Ball
Everyone seems to agree that he's overpriced, but his single week spike potential makes it scary to have zero... I'm not mixing him in a ton... his ability to do that, Josh Allen, it's not really unique relative to the players he's going around... this is going to be a year where I kind of don't play Josh Allen

STACKED’s take

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Overpriced spike potential; avoid unless pricing shifts or gap to other QBs narrows.

Consensus view is that Josh Allen is overpriced in DFS; while he has single-week spike potential, the source argues his spike ceiling is not unique relative to other quarterbacks at his price point. The source plans to largely avoid Josh Allen in DFS this year unless pricing dynamics shift (e.g., injury-related price drop), reasoning that the spike-week upside doesn't justify the premium cost when other quarterbacks can deliver similar ceiling performances at lower prices. In eliminator format, Allen's appeal is contingent on the price gap between him and other quarterbacks like Drake Maye, Jaden Daniels, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson remaining wide; if other quarterback prices moved up, Allen would become a more efficient pick, but the current price gap makes him a tricky selection.

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