From the video
Garrett Wilson is just the locked locked in number one there... In in a reddraft league, I'm trying to get Garrett Wilson into lineups. um Bham I think a little bit higher than than some other places because I know they didn't throw much last week but even though they lost that game they were playing from ahead for a lot of that game... they had a minus 19% pass rate over expected which is absurd right... their expected pass rate was 59%... he was in the slot uh a lot you know last week 37% of the time
STACKED’s take
Locked-in WR1 with increased slot usage; underpriced despite low volume.
Locked-in WR1 for the Jets with established target priority; all targets concentrated to Wilson. Slot usage increased to 37% in Week 1 (up from 23% last year and 29% year two), providing access to higher-success-rate targets and reducing volatility. Source trying to get Wilson into reddraft lineups at a price higher than some other places despite Jets' low passing volume in Week 1 (22 attempts), because Jets were in neutral-to-positive script (13th lowest expected pass rate at 59%) but ran heavy anyway (minus 19% pass rate over expected), suggesting run-heavy philosophy that hasn't been tested in high-pass-rate situations yet, which could create upside if they face higher expected pass rates.
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