STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
45% success rate; +20 RYOE; limited receiving work constrains ceiling.
Tony Pollard is performing better than expected given the Colts' offensive context; he has a 45% success rate (pretty good) and is running back 20 in rush yards over expected per game, which is solid relative to the quality of the passing game and offense. However, he's tethered to touchdown opportunities since Cam Ward is not throwing to running backs (4% target rate, lowest in NFL). The source is making excuses for Pollard more than for Ward, suggesting he's doing better relative to last year's quality of passing game, though it's uncertain if this is the week he rewards those who keep the faith.
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