Arrowhead Pride on Patrick Mahomes

ArticleChiefs News: Chiefs need to make more progress in Preseason Week 2
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Yes, Patrick Mahomes got hurt late in the season last year, and they lost plenty of one-score games, but I wasn't impressed by this team as a whole even before the Mahomes injury. The team was just 15th in the league in DVOA, and Mahomes ranked just 21st in the league in completion percentage over expected.
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Mahomes' 21st-ranked completion percentage over expected signals broader team concerns beyond injury.

The source expresses skepticism about the Chiefs' 2026 bounce-back prospects despite Mahomes' late-season injury last year. While the team lost multiple one-score games, the source was unimpressed by overall team performance even before the injury; the team ranked 15th in DVOA, Mahomes ranked 21st in the league in completion percentage over expected, and the defense ranked 12th in EPA and 14th in success rate. The source made a case for betting on the UNDER 10.5 wins for the Chiefs.

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