From the episode
Ninth in rushing yards last year. He was seventh in total touchdowns... yards created per touch, 3.22 for Javante... 30th in the league. Expected points added EPA, minus 21.5... 143rd... yards per touch, 4.7 was 32nd... I think he's a trap pick, especially in these dynasty startups... round three on underdog... way too expensive... They paid him... he's going to be locked into a really good offense for the next two years minimum... I think his price is pretty, pretty stagnant, which is RB 20 right now.
STACKED’s take
Ninth in rushing yards last year, seventh in total touchdowns, but efficiency metrics are concerning: yards created per touch 3.22 (30th in league), EPA minus 21.5 (143rd), yards per touch 4.7 (32nd). Risk of regression on touchdown volume; if opportunity share drops from 69% to 60-62% due to Phil Maffa or Jaden Blue eating into carries, value erodes significantly. At 26 years old, no incentive for Cowboys to not run him into ground, but unlikely to duplicate last year's production. Called a trap pick in dynasty startups; round three ADP on Underdog is way too expensive. However, Player Profiler notes Cowboys extended him (unlike Zeke situation), signaling commitment; locked into good offense for minimum two years as a good pass protector who will get receiving volume. Price expected to stay stagnant at RB20, not increase significantly unless he has a horrific year. Age (27 next year) and lack of explosiveness are concerning, but opportunity share keeps him stable.
Javonte WilliamsRB · DALPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight