FantasyPros Articles on Lamar Jackson

Jackson's TD regression and late-season decline make him the clearest sell at QB1 price.

The single largest negative-regression quarterback in the report. Jackson's 2025 leaned on a 6.95 percent passing touchdown rate that normalizes to 5.96 percent, dropping his adjusted finish three spots. From Weeks 9 through 18 he was QB20 in points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league in accurate-throw and catchable-target metrics, and posted a career-worst 26.8 rushing yards per game. He now works behind a reworked offensive line with a new playcaller and a thin receiving corps behind Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. The source calls this 'the fade of the summer,' noting that at a top-two quarterback price the market is baking in a QB1 ceiling as near certainty when it is anything but.

Lamar JacksonQB · BALPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight