Yahoo Sports NFL on Patrick Mahomes

ArticleChiefs News: Chiefs lead ESPN’s list of teams most likely to improveAugust 25, 2026

From the article

winning about 65% of the time — which is Mahomes' new career rate in games decided by seven points or fewer — might push Kansas City back atop the AFC West

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NeutralProjection

Mahomes' 65% win rate in close games could drive AFC West contention.

Mahomes' career win rate in one-score games (seven points or fewer) is 65%; winning approximately that percentage in close contests could push Kansas City back atop the AFC West in 2026, though the Chiefs' improvement from a 6-11 record will largely depend on performance in tight games after faltering in nearly every such contest in 2025.