Arrowhead Pride on Patrick Mahomes

ArticleChiefs News: Chiefs lead ESPN’s list of teams most likely to improve
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winning about 65% of the time — which is Mahomes' new career rate in games decided by seven points or fewer — might push Kansas City back atop the AFC West.
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Mahomes' 65% one-score game win rate is the key to Chiefs' AFC West contention.

Mahomes has a 65% career win rate in one-score games (decided by seven points or fewer), which is the benchmark the source identifies as potentially pushing Kansas City back atop the AFC West in 2026. The source notes that winning about 65% of such games 'might push Kansas City back atop the AFC West,' establishing this as a key performance threshold for the season.

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