Fantasy Life Articles on Matthew Stafford

ArticleMatthew Berry's Love/Hate For 2026 Fantasy Football
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Last season, Matthew Stafford had a league-high 7.7% TD rate, resulting in 46 passing touchdowns. I do see Stafford regressing to it. Over the past 15 seasons, every QB who had a TD rate of at least 7% saw that number drop the following season—with an average drop of 2.2%.
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Stafford's 7.7% TD rate faces historical regression; improved defense limits volume.

Last season, Matthew Stafford had a league-high 7.7% TD rate, resulting in 46 passing touchdowns. Matthew Berry expects Stafford to regress, noting that over the past 15 seasons, every QB who had a TD rate of at least 7% saw that number drop the following season—with an average drop of 2.2%. Stafford had a TD rate of 4.2% over the 2023 and 2024 seasons, with fewer TD passes over those two seasons than he had in 2025 alone. Additionally, an improved Rams defense should see Stafford needing to throw less late in games. Berry has Stafford on his 2026 Hate list.

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