FantasyPros Articles on Brian Thomas Jr.
From the article
Note that Thomas averaged six catches, 9.5 targets, and 76.2 receiving yards per game with Mac Jones as his QB in 2024. In his other 21 games played with Lawrence, those numbers fall to 3.6 catches, 6.1 targets, and 58.4 receiving yards per game...If you really want to bet on the profile of BTJ…just pick him off waivers or trade for him dirt cheap after a month of no production.
STACKED’s take
Thomas underperformed with Lawrence; avoid at current ADP, target off waivers.
Thomas finished WR43 overall and WR47 in PPG across 14 games in 2025 with an 18% target share, 8.2 half-PPR PPG, 50.5 receiving yards per game, 3 total TDs, and just 7 red-zone targets—far below his electric rookie season. His production splits reveal a Trevor Lawrence problem: with Mac Jones in 2024, Thomas averaged 6 catches, 9.5 targets, and 76.2 receiving yards per game; in 21 games with Lawrence, those fell to 3.6 catches, 6.1 targets, and 58.4 receiving yards per game. Lawrence favors TEs and other WRs (Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington); in five games with both, Thomas averaged 5 targets and 3 catches per game, ranking 4th in target pecking order behind Strange (14% target share). Jacksonville's brutal early schedule (Denzel Ward, Patrick Surtain, Christian Gonzalez, DJ Turner, Quinyon Mitchell, Derek Stingley, Sauce Gardner) compounds the fade.
Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight