RotoWire NFL Articles on Matthew Stafford

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At the risk of being the boy who cried regression: All 23 QBs to post a touchdown rate of at least 7 percent saw their mark fall the following season. Stafford's was 7.7 percent last season.
Captured by STACKED 44 min after posting

STACKED’s take

Negative signalBust

Matthew Stafford's 7.7% TD rate is unsustainable; all 23 QBs at 7%+ saw regression.

ADP QB14 posted a 7.7% touchdown rate in 2025, placing him among the 23 QBs to post a TD rate of at least 7%. Historical data shows all 23 QBs to post a TD rate of at least 7% saw their mark fall the following season, suggesting Stafford is a regression candidate heading into 2026.

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