RotoWire NFL Articles on Jake Ferguson
From the article
Ferguson ranks in the bottom 4 percent of tight ends in explosive play rate, his average depth of target sits at just 4.6 yards, and he did not record a single deep completion all season. His yards per reception have declined every year, from 10.7 to 8.4 to 7.3.
STACKED’s take
Ferguson's eight TDs were luck-driven; fade ADP 111.1 with declining efficiency.
Ferguson posted 82 receptions and eight touchdowns last year, both career highs, but his touchdown production says more about touchdown luck than a repeatable role. His receiving scores have swung wildly since 2023, with five and zero the two years before last season. Ferguson ranks in the bottom 4 percent of tight ends in explosive play rate, his average depth of target sits at just 4.6 yards, and he did not record a single deep completion all season. His yards per reception have declined every year, from 10.7 to 8.4 to 7.3. With CeeDee Lamb healthy, Ferguson's per-game production drops to 7.0 PPR points, and he faded hard down the stretch, failing to top 20 receiving yards in any of his final four games. He is a clear third read behind Lamb and George Pickens when both are healthy. Jim Coventry fades Ferguson at ADP 111.1, arguing eight touchdowns on a bottom-of-the-league efficiency profile will not repeat.
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