Reddit /r/fantasyfootball on Josh Allen
RedditWeek 1: where the betting market disagrees with consensus projections
From the thread
Market 19.8 vs consensus 22.4; Houston defense ranked historically elite; Bills OT injuries noted in prior game
Captured by STACKED 12 hr after posting
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Market projects 19.8 PPR (QB5) vs consensus 22.4 (QB1); books pricing fewer passing TDs than projection sites. Community emphasizes Houston's elite defense—historically one of the best, generating league-leading pressure with only 4-man rush, rarely blitzing, leading league in nearly every defensive category. Multiple comments note Bills were missing both starting OTs in last matchup vs Houston, so prior sample may not be representative. Consensus: sit Allen Week 1 despite 4/5 round ADP.
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