FantasyPros Articles on Christian McCaffrey
From the article
when he goes from 65 total touches in 2024 to 413 the following year, it is a massive cause for concern. Historical data suggests that running backs who cross the 350+ touches threshold in a single year often miss games, get injured and regress the following season.
STACKED’s take
McCaffrey's 413 touches in 2025 historically predict injury and regression; fade at current ADP.
Last season's RB1 (17 total touchdowns, 2,100+ total yards) is a do-not-draft candidate despite capable of repeating as the top position player. The primary concern is McCaffrey's massive usage uptick from 65 total touches in 2024 to 413 in 2025—a jump that historical data suggests correlates with injury, missed games, and regression. Running backs crossing the 350+ touches threshold in a single season often decline the following year. Saquon Barkley exemplifies this pattern: 2,283 yards and 15 touchdowns in 2024 followed by 1,413 yards and nine touchdowns in 2025. The last running back with the most touches in a season to finish as a top-10 option the following year was Ezekiel Elliott in 2018. Fading McCaffrey at his current draft cost aligns with historical precedent.
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