Fantasy Football Weekly on Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford's QB4 finish was fluky; regression expected

Matthew Stafford finished QB4 last year as QB23 in ADP and is now QB14 at ADP 102; however, the source views his QB4 finish as fluky and likely to regress. Last year's 7.7% TD per attempt was a career high by a mile, though he has a 5.5% career rate. In the two years prior, he was QB26 and QB17 in points per game, throwing 20+ more TDs last year than those seasons. Without rushing production, he is dependent on Devontae Adams for goal-line scoring, but Adams' own numbers may not be sustainable. Late-round value is available if he stays healthy, but regression is expected.

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