FantasyPros Articles on Brian Thomas Jr.
From the article
It's difficult to be overly optimistic about Thomas returning to his rookie form as long as Trevor Lawrence remains Jacksonville's quarterback... If you still believe in Thomas' profile, it may be better to acquire him cheaply after a slow opening month than to pay his draft-day price.
STACKED’s take
Thomas' poor fit with Trevor Lawrence and tough early schedule make him a fade at draft price.
The source identifies Thomas as a bust after a disappointing, injury-affected 2025 season, finishing WR43 overall and WR47 in fantasy points per game across 14 games. He averaged 8.2 half-PPR points on an 18% target share with 50.5 receiving yards per game, three total touchdowns, and only seven red-zone targets. His sophomore performance fell far short of his electric rookie campaign. The core issue is Trevor Lawrence: with Mac Jones in 2024, Thomas averaged six catches on 9.5 targets for 76.2 yards per game; across 21 games with Lawrence, those averages dropped to 3.6 catches, 6.1 targets, and 58.4 receiving yards. Lawrence has worked better with tight ends and receivers like Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington. In five games alongside Washington and Meyers last season, Thomas averaged only five targets and three receptions, ranking fourth in target hierarchy behind those two and tight end Brenton Strange (14% target share, 4.4 targets per game). Jacksonville's early schedule compounds concerns: as the X receiver, Thomas could face difficult cornerback matchups (Denzel Ward, Patrick Surtain, Christian Gonzalez, DJ Turner, Quinyon Mitchell, Derek Stingley, Sauce Gardner). The source recommends acquiring him cheaply after a slow opening month rather than at draft-day price.
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