Yahoo Sports NFL on J.J. McCarthy

ArticleVikings 2026 Season Forecast
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I was too optimistic about J.J. McCarthy's ability to have a Sam Darnold-like season, based on a piece I did in April 2025 that compiled the average stats of first-round quarterbacks landing in 'good' situations in their first full season as a starter. Of the 27 quarterbacks I measured in that piece, only Mark Sanchez had a slightly worse season than McCarthy did last year in terms of passer rating and ANY/A.
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McCarthy's first full season ranked among worst 27 first-round QBs in good situations; only Sanchez worse.

McCarthy underperformed expectations in his first full season as a starter, with a passer rating and ANY/A that ranked among the worst in the league. The source compiled average stats of 27 first-round quarterbacks landing in 'good' situations in their first full season as a starter, and only Mark Sanchez had a slightly worse season than McCarthy in terms of passer rating and ANY/A (Sanchez did not have the offensive weapons McCarthy had). Given McCarthy's relative performance compared to his backups last season, it didn't really matter that he missed seven games and departed a couple others early due to injury. His 2025 QBR was 35.6, contributing to the Vikings' weighted average QBR of 35.4.

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