FantasyPros Articles on Emeka Egbuka
From the article
Egbuka has dealt with a toe injury in camp, which is concerning, but his coverage and possible shadow matchups in Week 1 concern me more. Last year, Egbuka ran 63.5% of his routes from the perimeter, which means he could see D.J. Turner for most of Week 1. Last year, Turner was one of the best shutdown corners in the NFL, following D.K. Metcalf (twice), Justin Jefferson, Romeo Doubs, Zay Flowers (twice), and Gabe Davis on at least 60% of their routes.
STACKED’s take
Egbuka's toe injury and DJ Turner shadow matchup make Week 1 a fade despite volume.
Egbuka faded after Week 5 last year due to hamstring injury and Baker Mayfield's injury limiting catchable targets. In Weeks 1-5, he was WR3 in fantasy points per game with 22.1% target share, 89 receiving yards per game, 2.71 yards per route run, 26.1% first-read share, and 0.104 first downs per route run; had he maintained that pace, he would have ranked 19th in target share, third in receiving yards per game, fourth in yards per route run, 26th in first-read share, and 20th in first downs per route run. In Weeks 6-18, despite 23.1% target share and 28.9% first-read share, he posted only 41.1 receiving yards per game, 1.50 yards per route run, and 0.052 first downs per route run as WR55 in fantasy points per game. A toe injury in camp is concerning, but coverage and shadow matchups worry the source more. Egbuka ran 63.5% of routes from the perimeter, likely drawing DJ Turner—one of the NFL's best shutdown corners who followed D.K. Metcalf (twice), Justin Jefferson, Romeo Doubs, Zay Flowers (twice), and Gabe Davis on at least 60% of their routes, allowing only one receiving touchdown and only Jefferson surpassing 70 receiving yards. Cincy's single-high usage (56.7%, sixth-highest) also limited Egbuka's production; in Weeks 1-5 against single high, he had only 1.36 yards per route run. The source doesn't expect a blow-up game in Week 1.
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