ESPN Fantasy Football on Rashee Rice
From the article
Rice has historically struggled in this setting, demonstrating a noticeable drop-off across three career games against the Broncos, in which his target rate fell to 21.4% compared to his 28.2% career average, and his yards per route run declined to 1.98 yards from his career mark of 2.42.
STACKED’s take
Rice's Broncos matchup presents major headwinds; historical splits and Denver's elite secondary suggest fade.
Rice faces a formidable Broncos defense in his prime-time debut; Denver's secondary limited wide receivers to 10.5 yards per reception (10th-lowest) and six scores last year. Rice has historically struggled against Denver across three career games, with target rate dropping to 21.4% versus his 28.2% career average and yards per route run declining to 1.98 from his 2.42 career mark. In his most recent trip to Mile High in Week 11, he posted just 38 yards on six receptions despite nine targets. Kansas City's offense ranks 19th in scoring since 2023, and the addition of Kenneth Walker III suggests a run-heavy approach to counter Denver's blitz, which will likely eat into Rice's targets. Given questions surrounding his health, role, and efficiency, expectations should be lowered for his Week 1 performance.
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