Yahoo Sports NFL on Colby Parkinson

Article49ers vs. Rams betting odds, picks and predictions: Best bets, player props for...
Read the full article

From the article

After their subsequent bye week, Parkinson's usage shot up the rest of the season, frequently playing more than 70% of the snaps, and scoring eight touchdowns. Those TDs came in seven of 13 games — a rate of better than 50% of the time. Given 4-to-1 odds imply that Parkinson scores just 20% of the time, these odds don't reflect Stafford's affection for throwing to his 6-foot-7 red zone target.
Captured by STACKED 3 hr after posting

STACKED’s take

Positive signalValue

Parkinson anytime TD at +400 undervalued; 54% TD rate in 13 games post-bye.

Parkinson's anytime touchdown odds at +400 are undervalued relative to his recent usage and scoring rate. After Puka Nacua was out for the Week 7 London trip, the Rams shifted to three-tight end sets, and Parkinson's usage increased significantly post-bye week, frequently playing over 70% of snaps. He scored eight touchdowns in seven of 13 games—a 54% scoring rate. The source argues that 4-to-1 odds imply only a 20% scoring probability, which doesn't reflect Matthew Stafford's affinity for throwing to his 6-foot-7 red-zone target.

Colby Parkinson headshotColby ParkinsonTE · LARPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight

More on Colby Parkinson and from Yahoo Sports NFL