Arrowhead Pride on Patrick Mahomes

ArticlePredicting Chiefs statistical totals for the 2026 season
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Patrick Mahomes will make his return to the football field on Monday Night, coming off an ACL tear last season. Currently on FanDuel, Mahomes' over/under for season-long passing yards is 3,600.5 yards (-114 odds to go over). The over/under total for passing touchdowns is 24.5 touchdowns (-138 odds to go over). I'm taking the over on both. My season prediction for Mahomes: 4,800 yards passing, 29 passing touchdowns, and a career-high completion percentage of 70%
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Mahomes projected for 4,800 yards and 29 TDs after ACL recovery

The source projects Mahomes will return from an ACL tear and exceed FanDuel's season-long passing yards over/under of 3,600.5 yards, predicting 4,800 yards passing, 29 passing touchdowns, and a career-high 70% completion percentage.

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