Yahoo Sports NFL on Colston Loveland
ArticleNFL Anytime Touchdown Picks & TD Props for Week 1
From the article
The gap between the TD market implied probability (34%) and his actual chance of scoring (fair around 40%) is a big Week 1 advantage for early bettors.
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Loveland underpriced at 34% vs. 40% fair value; healthiest target with Odunze/Burden out.
Loveland is priced at 34% to score a touchdown but has a fair probability around 40%, creating a Week 1 advantage for early bettors. He averaged 66 yards per game after Week 8 last season while adding touchdowns in five of those games (six total). With Rome Odunze (leg injury, didn't practice Tuesday) and Luther Burden (groin, out a month) sidelined, Loveland becomes Caleb Williams' healthiest pass catcher. Williams finished last year with the third-highest deep-throw rate, and Loveland, who doesn't drop balls and played 40% of snaps in slot or out wide, could take full advantage.
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