Yahoo Sports NFL on David Montgomery
ArticleNFL Anytime Touchdown Picks & TD Props for Week 1
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I bought this at 54.5% but have the fair price closer to 60%. The Bills gave up a league-high 18 TDs to opposing running backs last year and are a worse unit this season after losing five starters and bringing in a new defensive scheme.
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Montgomery underpriced at 54.5% vs. 60% fair value; Bills worst vs. RB TDs.
Montgomery is priced at 54.5% but has a fair price closer to 60%, making him a strong Week 1 layup play. The Bills gave up a league-high 18 TDs to opposing running backs last year and are a worse unit this season after losing five starters and bringing in a new defensive scheme. The Texans were one of the worst teams near the goal line last season and will prioritize changing that narrative with their new back. Montgomery should get the majority of the red-zone work, and Houston can flirt with four TDs.
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