Yahoo Sports NFL on Jordan Addison
ArticleNFL Anytime Touchdown Picks & TD Props for Week 1
From the article
This is the best +EV touchdown per the projections at Covers. The fair probability is 32.3%. This Vikings offense might have the best quarterback play it's had in a season, and Jordan Addison should see plenty of single coverage with the eyes on Justin Jefferson.
Captured by STACKED 2 hr after posting
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Addison best +EV TD at 28.4% vs. 32.3% fair value; single coverage with Jefferson focus.
Addison is priced at 28.4% but has a fair probability of 32.3%, making him the best +EV touchdown per Covers projections. The Vikings offense might have the best quarterback play it's had in a season, and Addison should see plenty of single coverage with attention on Justin Jefferson. The Packers' defense is another good unit to fade after falling apart last year without Micah Parsons, and the change at defensive coordinator adds uncertainty.
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