Darkest dark horse at +5500; contract year with elite weapons and media profile.

Tony Ayo identifies Baker Mayfield as a dark horse MVP candidate at plus-5,500 odds—the darkest of dark horses. He argues Mayfield is statistically capable (threw for 4,541 yards two years ago, which is an MVP-caliber line), is playing for a contract at a critical fork-in-the-road moment, and could easily win his division and make the playoffs if the Buccaneers put together a good season. Mayfield has talent around him (Godwin, McMillan, and depth in the receiving corps), though it's harder without Mike Evans. Mayfield is also a visible, established media figure (All-State commercial guy, household name), which is crucial for an MVP award that is fundamentally a media award.