NegativeValueThu, July 16, 2026
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Mike Evans overpriced at WR26; 9th percentile efficiency at age 32, poor historical comps.

Mike EvansWRSF

Mike Evans is overpriced at ADP WR26 consensus versus the source's WR39 ranking. At age 32, Evans was arguably the worst wide receiver in football, posting 5.9 yards per target (9th percentile this century) and ranking 11th percentile among age-32 receivers in yards per target. The market compares Evans to Davante Adams, who played last year at Evans' age this year, but Adams didn't decline like Evans did. The source questions how many receivers over age 30 who were as bad as Evans later rebounded, noting there are very few historical examples. While the 49ers' passing game is expected to help, the source questions how many top WR seasons this offense has created under Kyle Shanahan.

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Source transcript excerpt
Mike Evans (WR26/my WR39)... Adams didn't suck at age 32, and Evans did. How many receivers over age 30 who were as bad as Evans — 5.9 yards per target last year is 9th percentile this century — later rebounded?
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