Footballguys on Abdul Carter
ArticleThe 10 Must-Have IDP League-Winners as Draft Season OpensCaptured July 19, 2026
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Carter's 21 percent pass rush win rate matched Myles Garrett. Carter also had 48 'quick' pressures (under 2.5 seconds) last year per NFL Next Gen Stats-tops in the NFL. The conditions are ripe for a breakout. Perhaps a rampage. And it wouldn't be a huge upset to see Carter out-point Brian Burns this season.
STACKED’s take
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Abdul Carter's advanced metrics (21% PRWR, 48 quick pressures) project breakout upside over Brian Burns.
Abdul Carter, the third overall pick in the 2025 draft, struggled early with just 0.5 sacks over the first 12 weeks and multiple disciplinary benching, but showed significant improvement over the final five weeks with 3.5 sacks in four starts, finishing eighth among edge-rushers in fantasy points for the month. Advanced metrics were kinder to Carter than traditional stats: his 21 percent pass rush win rate matched Myles Garrett, and he led the NFL with 48 'quick' pressures (under 2.5 seconds) per NFL Next Gen Stats. The source projects Carter could out-point Brian Burns this season, indicating significant breakout potential.
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