Source + player page

Blogging The Boys fantasy football takes on Jake Ferguson

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Blogging The Boys about Jake Ferguson.

80
Insights
40
Positive
33
Negative
Insight ledger

All Blogging The Boys insights about Jake Ferguson

PositiveBreakoutOct 25, 2026
The source makes a bold prediction that Jake Ferguson will surprise everyone with a strong game despite a rough start to the season. Through six games, Ferguson has only 115 receiving yards but has recorded three touchdowns; however, he also has a fumble and was responsible for a game-ending interception last week. His yards after catch total is just 45 yards this year. The source's contrarian take suggests upside potential despite the poor production and blocking issues.
NegativeBustOct 18, 2026
Sell recommendation: Ferguson's performance against Tampa Bay was the kind that can change how a team evaluates a player's role. He finished with 3 catches for 19 yards on 6 targets, with two of his drops including the night's most damaging play: a late-game mistake that turned a potential comeback drive into a game-sealing interception. He also dropped a pass during Dallas' two-minute drive before halftime, costing the offense an opportunity. Beyond drops, a growing supply of film shows how much of a liability he has become in the blocking game. Through five games, Ferguson has not eclipsed 43 receiving yards in any game and has not provided the consistent production Dallas needs from a starting tight end. His value is not measured only by catches and yards; he also needs to be a dependable target in the middle of the field and help convert important downs. After another costly performance, Ferguson has to prove he can regain the trust Prescott and the offense need from him.
NegativeBustOct 17, 2026
Ferguson's positional rank collapsed from 48 in 2025 to 26 in 2026 (87th out of 117 TEs), representing a significant decline. His YPRR fell from 1.20 to 0.70, the lowest among all receivers, continuing a five-year efficiency decline (YPRR: 1.66 in 2022 → 0.70 in 2026; YAC/Rec: 6.5 in 2022 → 3.1 in 2026). His yards per catch dropped from 10.7 in 2023 to 6.8 in 2026. The source attributes this partly to scheme deployment (catch compression from short-area routes) but raises concerns about potential age-related decline in burst and explosiveness at age 27. The source recommends redistributing his snaps to other tight ends or trading him.
NegativeDepth ChartOct 15, 2026
The source suggests Ferguson 'would be prime candidates for at least a temporary demotion' due to 'too many errors of late,' and notes that Ferguson 'wasn't even contributing to that blocking' in the Cowboys' most effective offensive plays against Tampa Bay, where Javonte Williams at RB was the primary blocker instead; the source recommends simplifying the offense by relying on Pickens, Lamb, and Flournoy rather than using Ferguson as a 'third seam-stretching element.'
NegativeBustOct 12, 2026
Through five games in 2024, Ferguson has a 9.5% drop rate on short-to-intermediate routes and leads all tight ends with eight fumbles over the last three years—a rate of once every 19.6 touches, equivalent to a running back fumbling once per 20-touch game. He carries the ball away from his frame, making him vulnerable to aggressive defenders who deliberately swipe at the ball; a costly fumble on a shovel pass against Baltimore erased a scoring drive. Beyond drops and fumbles, Ferguson is an ineffective blocker with poor chip blocks and missed running-game assignments. Despite signing a four-year, $52 million extension through 2029, his pattern of costly mistakes at critical moments—including a game-ending drop against Tampa Bay where the ball deflected off his face—is raising questions about his consistency and long-term effectiveness as a net positive for the offense.
NegativeRoleOct 12, 2026
Ferguson's performance against Tampa was marked by inconsistent blocking and a critical drop in a late-game situation. He finished with 3 catches for 19 yards and dropped a catchable pass that became the game-sealing interception when Dallas was attempting a comeback. The source emphasizes that while not every tipped interception is the receiver's fault, Ferguson needed to secure the ball in that critical moment, and his ongoing difficulties as a blocker compound the concern about how heavily the offense relies on him.
NegativeRoleOct 11, 2026
Ferguson signed to a $144 million contract (combined with DaRon Bland) but is a significant liability in the run game; he lacks physicality to take on edge rushers and linebackers, lacks power to generate movement, and is extremely inconsistent. His best contribution is getting in the way just enough for a running back to cruise into the end zone or past the first down marker. Against the Texans, he was particularly poor as a run blocker. The Cowboys are experiencing extreme buyer's remorse on the deal.
NegativeBustOct 10, 2026
Jake Ferguson had multiple drops against Tampa Bay, including a game-ending interception with 1:22 remaining, down eight, and deep in Buccaneers territory. He took a perfect Dak Prescott pass off the facemask that sealed the loss; the play registered -4.4 EPA and represented the largest win probability swing of the day, dropping Dallas' odds to one percent. Ferguson's performance reflects a broader tight end problem: his blocking lacks execution and effort, and his yards-after-catch ability have declined to late-career Jason Witten levels.
NegativeRoleOct 9, 2026
Ferguson's mishandling of Dak Prescott's pass resulted in effectively the game-sealing turnover in the fourth quarter (1:22), which left fans stunned. For the second week in a row, Prescott was engineering a late fourth-quarter drive and it looked as if he was going to get his sputtering offense in the end zone, but Ferguson let the ball slip through his hands, off his helmet, and into the arms of Alex Anzalone. In the last few weeks, Ferguson has mishandled the football several times, from a fumble in Brazil to a drop during the two-minute offense before the break. The source notes it's a shame the game was ultimately decided by a simple pitch-and-catch that was poorly executed.
NegativeRoleOct 8, 2026
Ferguson is a sell due to blocking concerns that outweigh his receiving production. Against Houston, he caught three of four targets for 11 yards (including one crucial fourth-down catch), but the larger issue was his performance as a blocker. He spent much of the afternoon chipping against Houston's edge rushers with multiple moments where his technique and effort left Dallas' offense in difficult positions. Dallas relies on Ferguson to be both a pass-catching tight end and a reliable blocker, but he has had too many snaps where he either misses assignments entirely or makes contact without finishing blocks. With Dak Prescott playing at a high level and Javonte Williams showing he can be a major part of the offense, Dallas needs reliable blocking from its tight ends. Tampa Bay's defense will use multiple methods to create pressure and has held three consecutive opponents to 285 yards or fewer, meaning the Cowboys cannot afford preventable pressure through missed blocks.
NegativeRoleOct 6, 2026
Received a D- grade for blocking performance in Week 4 vs. Texans; the source Jesse Holley was disappointed in Ferguson's run and pass blocking despite his Pro Bowl status. As a pass catcher, Ferguson remains a reliable red zone target for Prescott on third/fourth down situations and made a key fourth-down catch to extend a game-winning drive. However, blocking has been a persistent weakness since joining Dallas, and the team's emphasis on tight end blocking for the run game and pass protection against elite pass rushers creates risk that Brevyn Spann-Ford could see increased snaps in passing situations if Ferguson doesn't improve.
PositiveRoleOct 5, 2026
Ferguson made a crucial fourth-down conversion catch with 1:34 remaining in a tied game, securing a 7-yard gain on fourth-and-4 at Dallas' own 32-yard line. The sliding catch kept the Cowboys' final possession alive when an incompletion would have handed Houston the ball in prime position to end the game. Ferguson's play was the turning point that allowed Dallas to continue attacking and ultimately win 34-30; the source emphasizes that "someone must make a crucial play when there's no margin for error, and Ferguson did precisely that."
NegativeRoleOct 5, 2026
Ferguson's blocking at the point of attack has been a major red flag within the heavier personnel sets the Cowboys have been at their best offensively in; he was asked to block Will Anderson on second down leading to an incomplete pass to Lamb, and later had a terrible chip block against Anderson on third down that gave Anderson a more direct rush past Terence Steele into Prescott's lap, deflecting Dak's pass incomplete; Ferguson needs to be included in downfield passing concepts rather than forced into blocking situations.
NegativeRoleOct 1, 2026
Ferguson's ball-control issues have resurfaced with his eighth fumble since the start of the 2024 season, tied for third-most in the league. His touches-per-fumble rate of 18.9 is by far the highest of any player, and his YAC production has deteriorated significantly; over his last 20 games, he has posted an uninspiring 3.2 YAC/REC rate, no longer functioning as the YAC specialist he was in 2023. The source frames these issues as a reason to reduce Ferguson's opportunities in favor of Brevyn Spann-Ford.
NegativeRoleSep 20, 2026
Sell recommendation for Week 2. Ferguson struggled in Week 1 with only 6 yards on 2 catches despite 6 targets against Giants. With Brevyn Spann-Ford's rise and multiple receivers available to Dak Prescott, Ferguson's impact capped at occasional catches. Dallas views TE position as well-rounded blocker-receiver; against Washington's aggressive defensive scheme, Ferguson cannot become a liability when attached to formation. Limited flash and role uncertainty suggest insufficient upside despite Commanders' recent struggles vs. Dallas Goedert.
PositiveMatchupSep 17, 2026
Ferguson caught all seven passes thrown his way and scored two touchdowns in Dallas' 44-22 home victory over Washington last October. The source notes that Ferguson enters this game knowing he has already hurt Washington around the goal line and that Philadelphia just found success attacking the same Commanders defense with its tight end (Dallas Goedert caught four passes for 77 yards and two touchdowns), suggesting Ferguson could exploit a defensive weakness.