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Behind the Steel Curtain fantasy football takes on Aaron Rodgers

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Behind the Steel Curtain about Aaron Rodgers.

80
Insights
39
Positive
28
Negative
Insight ledger

All Behind the Steel Curtain insights about Aaron Rodgers

PositiveRoleOct 27, 2026
At 42 years old with diminished athleticism, Rodgers is a shell of his former self, but he's executing Mike McCarthy's in-game adjustments effectively and making key plays when needed. He shifted to a shorter passing game in Week 6 at Tampa Bay and scrambled for crucial first downs late in games, including an 8-yard run in the final minutes against New Orleans that buried the Saints. The Steelers' offensive strategy has adapted to carry Rodgers rather than rely on him to carry the team, yet his willingness to accept adjustments and execute them as intended has been a key difference in Pittsburgh's recent success.
PositiveProjectionOct 26, 2026
Rodgers continues to be efficient while adding explosiveness to the Steelers' offense. His best play came on 3rd-and-14 when he escaped pressure, ran left, and uncorked a 51-yard moon ball to DK Metcalf inside the five-yard line. He also executed an eight-yard scramble on third down late in the game to help run out the clock. Though not his most impressive stat line, his 30 passing attempts were the fewest of the season as Pittsburgh controlled the clock with the running game. Rodgers maneuvered the pocket better than he has all season and continues to put the Steelers offense in positions to win.
NegativeProjectionOct 26, 2026
Rodgers is both the best quarterback the team has had during the 2020s and a cap on their ceiling; while capable of flashes (19-of-30 completion, key plays to DK Metcalf and Darnell Washington), the offense lacks consistency and explosive output. Of 19 completions, 10 were for gains under seven yards; several vertical attempts were uncatchable; he checked down to Brandon Smith for only four yards with no timeouts and 30 seconds left in the half, then took a sack. The source notes Rodgers' down-to-down rollercoaster product makes the game-day experience frustrating; while he can squeak out close wins, creating explosive plays is now as important as winning the turnover battle, and once the playoffs arrive, the Steelers' shrinking margin for error becomes critical. The Saints are not a good defense, yet the Steelers managed just a few explosive passes and only one touchdown.
PositiveUsageOct 25, 2026
On the Steelers' biggest play of the game—a 3rd-and-14 conversion—Aaron Rodgers extended the play and found DK Metcalf for a 51-yard completion, which set up the Darnell Washington touchdown. Post-game, Rodgers acknowledged the offense left points on the board by settling for field goals in two red-zone drives and another drive that reached the Saints' 29-yard line, indicating missed scoring opportunities despite the efficient third-down performance.
PositiveProjectionOct 23, 2026
Rodgers has shown increasing trust in rookie Germie Bernard over recent weeks, praising his growing confidence and stating "There comes a time when the confidence starts to match the potential, and I think we're reaching that time with Germie." The veteran QB continues to pepper Bernard with targets and has generated 233 passing attempts through six weeks (5th most in the league), providing ample volume for Bernard's role in the short and intermediate passing game.
PositiveProjectionOct 20, 2026
Rodgers struggled for 50 minutes and three quarters, generating only three points through the first three and a half quarters with an early interception, but led two touchdown drives in the fourth quarter and overtime with all five drives in that span ending with points; finished with 253 yards and two scores. The source notes he stepped up in the clutch and kept the Steelers in position to win despite five sacks largely attributed to his lack of mobility.
PositiveProjectionOct 18, 2026
Rodgers led a franchise-record fourth-quarter comeback from a 16-3 deficit, finishing 33-of-49 for 253 yards and two touchdowns plus one interception. He orchestrated scoring drives on every possession in the fourth quarter and overtime, including an eight-play TD drive to Darnell Washington and a 12-play OT drive capped by Germie Bernard's game-winning touchdown, demonstrating clutch execution and offensive rhythm after three quarters of stagnation.
PositiveProjectionOct 13, 2026
Rodgers finished 22-of-31 for 235 yards and three touchdowns against Indianapolis, marking his third straight game with three or more touchdown passes, tying a franchise record held by Terry Bradshaw and Ben Roethlisberger. The source notes this is the first time since December 2021 that Rodgers has thrown for three or more touchdown passes in three consecutive contests. He was decisive, used the entire field, protected the ball, and moved around the pocket effectively despite the Colts' weak pass rush.
PositiveProjectionOct 13, 2026
Rodgers threw three touchdowns for the third consecutive game in Week 5 win over Colts, surpassing Peyton Manning for third-most all-time TD passes (582). Despite career-worst 59.8% completion percentage and 88.9 passer rating, his production at age 43 is historic: 1,234 passing yards and 10 touchdowns through five starts, with Steelers winning three of those games—more wins than every other QB at his age combined except Tom Brady. Frank Schwab notes this season is already historic for his age regardless of remaining outcomes.
PositiveProjectionOct 12, 2026
Over the last three weeks, Rodgers ranks 13th in EPA per play among all quarterbacks with 10+ snaps, ahead of Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, and Matthew Stafford; he has thrown nine touchdown passes (most in the league since Week 3) and accumulated 827 yards (seventh in the league). The source notes this performance contradicts the narrative that Rodgers is too old to lead a team to relevancy, and credits the Steelers' ground-game dominance and Warren's dual-threat role with keeping Rodgers clean and enabling his efficiency.
PositiveProjectionOct 11, 2026
Rodgers completed 22-of-31 passes for 235 yards and three touchdowns in a 34-22 win over the Colts, extending his streak to three consecutive games with three or more touchdowns—tying the Steelers franchise record previously held only by Terry Bradshaw and Ben Roethlisberger. With this performance, Rodgers surpassed Peyton Manning for most touchdown passes in the regular season and postseason combined (582 total), and improved to 166 career wins as a starter, breaking a tie with Roethlisberger for fifth all-time. He is five wins away from tying Drew Brees' record.
NegativeProjectionOct 7, 2026
Rodgers is completing just 24% of his passes of 20+ yards (26th ranked) and 33.3% of his passes of 15+ air yards (30th ranked), indicating significant ineffectiveness on deep attempts. The source argues the Steelers should pivot away from this ineffective approach and instead lean into play action (ranked 3rd in EPA per pass at +0.42) and the running game (8th in yards per carry at 4.4), as the alternative spread-out shotgun approach has been far worse. All five sacks in Week 4 came from shotgun looks, compounding the inefficiency.
NegativeProjectionOct 7, 2026
At 42 years old, Rodgers is no longer able to play like he did during his prime; asking a passer of that age to throw the ball 41.8 times per game (68.4% pass rate) is asking to write checks that his body can no longer cash. Rodgers is completing just 24% of his passes of 20+ yards (26th in league) and 33.3% of passes of 15+ air yards (30th), while the Steelers lead the league in 20+ air yard attempts (25) and rank third in 15+ air yard attempts (36). The source argues the Steelers should ease Rodgers' load with a stronger running game and more play action passes rather than continuing a pass-dominant approach that doesn't match his current capabilities or the roster's strengths.
NegativeProjectionOct 6, 2026
Aaron Rodgers' performance has been inconsistent and concerning for fantasy purposes. His deep throws wobble, his mobility is completely shot, and while he showed flashes of stellar play in the second half of Week 4 against Cleveland, the Steelers need him to be consistent—which he has not been. At 42 years old, his ceiling is not very high; the offense's upside is limited with him at quarterback. Through four weeks, Rodgers and the passing attack have been inconsistent, with 167 dropbacks compared to just 86 rushing attempts, putting too much burden on an aging arm. The relationship between Rodgers and head coach Mike McCarthy has also soured, with the two caught in a profane on-field exchange.
NegativeProjectionOct 5, 2026
Mixed performance in Week 4 loss to Cleveland: strong fourth quarter with two touchdown passes and impressive quarterback sneak on 2-point conversion, but failed to pull the trigger on two critical throws to DK Metcalf that would have changed the game outcome. Held the ball too long, contributing to five sacks taken and ten hits. Lack of mobility at age 37 puts Steelers in tough situations against blitz-heavy teams like Cleveland; simultaneously digging team out of holes he creates. Graded C+ to C by source.
NegativeProjectionOct 2, 2026
Rodgers had several critical misses that severely impacted the Steelers' loss to Cleveland. In the third quarter, he had DK Metcalf wide open for what would have been an easy deep touchdown pass but didn't see it and checked down to Ben Skowronek instead. On the final play, Rodgers forced a ball to Roman Wilson that was intercepted and sealed the game, when Metcalf was open again and would have allowed a 52-yard field goal attempt to send the game to overtime.
NegativeProjectionOct 2, 2026
At 42, Rodgers showed regression concerns despite a few perfect deep throws; he looked unsettled under pressure with pocket reactions a tick or two late, repeatedly moved into rushers, threw into questionable coverage, missed seeing open receivers, and missed high and low. The source notes his late-game explosion felt more like Ben Roethlisberger's last gasps of brilliance in 2020–2021 than a modern offense. While Rodgers was sacked five times and faced 73% man coverage, he shoulders plenty of blame on sacks and incompletions. The source concludes Rodgers might've been the best QB option available but is capping the offense's potential.
PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Elite decision-maker at the line of scrimmage capable of deciphering defenses as well as anyone; despite being 42 years old and playing behind an offensive line lacking cohesion, Rodgers can still outplay the opposition on any given day. Over the next five games before the bye, Rodgers faces four quarterbacks (Deshaun Watson twice, Daniel Jones, Jalon Daniels, Tyler Shough) where the tape favors Pittsburgh. Through three games, Rodgers owns a 58.4 completion percentage and four touchdowns with only two interceptions; played one of his best games as a Steeler in the 30-27 victory over the Bengals with 292 yards and three touchdowns for his 100th career win with Mike McCarthy.
PositiveProjectionSep 30, 2026
Rodgers is averaging 2.89 seconds to throw this season, but received elite pass protection against the Bengals last week when that figure ballooned to 3.19 seconds. The source notes Rodgers was arguably given some of the best pass protection in his time with the Steelers. If the Steelers offensive line can replicate that performance against Cleveland—which gives opposing QBs longer time to throw—Rodgers should have plenty of time in the pocket.
PositiveProjectionSep 29, 2026
Rodgers delivered one of his best performances in a Steelers uniform in Week 3 against Cincinnati, finishing tied for eighth in EPA per play among quarterbacks with nearly 300 passing yards and three touchdowns. The source notes that had a pass not bounced off Roman Wilson's hands for an interception, his stat line would have been nearly perfect. Both graders awarded him an A grade, emphasizing this was the type of consistent, high-level performance expected from the veteran quarterback.
PositiveProjectionSep 28, 2026
Quarterback showed improvement in Week 3 against Cincinnati, posting a 3.19-second average time to throw—the longest of his Steelers career—while maintaining strong pass protection numbers. In two of the Steelers' three games this season, Rodgers has largely played well and done a better job pushing the ball downfield and extending plays than he did in most of 2025. However, Max Iheanachor notes there was still quite a bit of meat left on the bone in the passing game, with at least two explosive plays to wide-open receivers missed from a clean pocket.
PositiveProjectionSep 27, 2026
After Mike McCarthy replaced Spencer Anderson and Dylan Cook with Brock Hoffman and rookie Max Iheanachor, Rodgers posted a career-high 3.19 seconds to throw as a Steeler and launched 15 passes of 10+ yards downfield—the most he's ever had in a Steelers uniform. This efficiency spike came after Rodgers was pressured 37 times (fourth-most in NFL) over the first two weeks, demonstrating the offensive line overhaul's immediate impact on his performance.
PositiveProjectionSep 27, 2026
Rodgers delivered a vintage performance in Week 3 against Cincinnati, completing 19 of 34 passes for 292 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He connected with Roman Wilson on a 38-yard TD to open the scoring, found Ben Skowronek on a 23-yard TD via play-action, and threw a third TD to DK Metcalf in the third quarter after a defensive collision left Metcalf wide open. The Steelers' offense erupted for 411 yards after scoring just 16 points in Weeks 1–2, signaling a major uptick in offensive efficiency and Rodgers' ability to execute in a shootout environment.
PositiveProjectionSep 25, 2026
Rodgers' performance through two weeks has drawn criticism about the viability of his tenure with Pittsburgh. Ralph Vacchiano (FOX Sports) stated: "If that's the way Aaron Rodgers is going to play, his last ride might be a short one." The source cites specific performance concerns: two fumbles in Sunday's defeat, completion of just 8 of 24 attempts (33%) on 31 dropbacks under pressure with six sacks, career-low 50% completion rate against the blitz, and career-worst 30.4% off-target percentage on blitz throws. At 42 years old, decreased mobility has compounded pressure management issues. Additionally, the Steelers have produced only one offensive touchdown in eight quarters under McCarthy's aggressive passing approach (65% pass rate despite not being in pass-only situations), and Rodgers' inaccuracy under pressure has been a primary factor in the offense's dysfunction.
NegativeProjectionSep 23, 2026
At 42 years old, Rodgers is not the mobile or accurate-under-pressure passer he once was; the source notes he left high-level plays on the table Sunday that a younger version might have made, though Rodgers is not identified as the main problem in the offense through two weeks. The source also notes Rodgers has long liked to dice up defenses based on pre-snap alignments, but the league has moved past that in many ways with sim pressures and ambiguous defensive fronts.
PositiveProjectionSep 23, 2026
Despite the Steelers' 20-3 loss to New England and ranking 31st in scoring with a dead-last offensive success rate, ESPN Steelers Behind Jordan Rodgers (Aaron's brother) argues that Aaron Rodgers was "very accurate down the field" in Week 1, with incomplete passes stemming from drops and missed calls rather than poor execution. Jordan Rodgers frames the Steelers' offensive struggles as a "feeling out process" between Rodgers and McCarthy in their second iteration together, suggesting the offense will improve with time as they develop chemistry and identify their identity.
NegativeRoleSep 20, 2026
McCarthy deflected blame from Rodgers after the 20-3 loss to New England, stating the quarterback "can play at any volume of game plan" but needs better offensive platforms and protection schemes. McCarthy emphasized the team must "give Aaron Rodgers better platforms to throw off of" and attempt to get the ball downfield rather than relying on short passes, indicating the offensive struggles stem from coaching execution and scheme rather than quarterback performance.
PositiveProjectionSep 19, 2026
Rodgers completed 24-of-40 passes for 221 yards and one touchdown against Atlanta in Week 1. Despite the modest stat line, Rodgers showed arm talent and expressed confidence in the passing game's ability to improve downfield. He cited multiple uncalled pass interference penalties on receivers (including two on DK Metcalf and one on Roman) that could have significantly altered the game narrative, suggesting the offense's underlying performance was stronger than the box score indicates.
NegativeProjectionSep 17, 2026
Rodgers completed 6-of-8 play-action pass attempts for 65 yards in Week 1, despite the Steelers' inconsistent running game. The two incomplete passes were both instances where the Steelers left points on the board: one to Metcalf in the end zone where DPI wasn't called, and one on a bootleg to the left where Rodgers missed Jaylen Warren wide on a pass the running back would have walked in for a touchdown with a better ball. The source notes that McCarthy's offenses, especially with Rodgers at quarterback, have always skewed pass-heavy, and suggests the offense could be more dangerous if it incorporates more play-action and develops a threatening run game.
PositiveProjectionSep 15, 2026
After a 2025 season where Rodgers often looked too willing to revert to a dink-and-dunk passing game, he looked more like a gunslinger against the Falcons in Week 1. He was extending plays, pushing the ball deep, and recording several "wow" throws. According to Next Gen Stats, Rodgers set highs or near-highs for his Steelers career in time to throw and air yards per target on Sunday, and his passing map showed him accessing every area of the field—a marked improvement from Justin Fields' limited middle-of-field access in the 2024 Steelers-Falcons matchup.
NegativeProjectionSep 14, 2026
Rodgers' Week 1 performance exceeded the 24-of-40 box score; he averaged over 10 yards per target and posted an ADOT of 10.5 after a 6.16 mark last season, demonstrating a significant increase in downfield aggression. PFF awarded him an 85.7 grade, first among all quarterbacks. Over 100 yards were left on the field due to drops, penalties, and a missed pass interference call. The source notes Rodgers looked largely comfortable and put pass-catchers in position to make plays, with the main concern being timing rust with receivers after limited preseason work.
PositiveProjectionSep 14, 2026
Rodgers finished Week 1 with 24-of-40, 221 yards, and 1 TD, but the source argues his box score undersells his performance. Multiple high-quality throws were dropped or negated by penalties: DK Metcalf dropped a 20-yard pass and had a 19-yard reception erased by pass interference; Roman Wilson dropped a 44-yard touchdown; and a 40-yard pass interference penalty was not called. In total, those plays cost Rodgers 104 yards and a touchdown. Had those been caught, Rodgers would have posted 28-of-40, 325 yards, and 2 TDs. Rodgers himself noted explosive plays were available and expressed confidence in the offense's approach.
NegativeProjectionSep 14, 2026
Aaron Rodgers completed 24 of 40 attempts (60% completion rate) against Atlanta's banged-up defense, with efficiency issues despite the offensive line giving up just two sacks. Jack Sawyer notes Rodgers looked more comfortable extending plays than usual, and according to Next Gen Stats, his 9.2 air yards per target were the most he has recorded during his Pittsburgh tenure, with a 2.95-second time to throw being his third-highest average as a Steeler; the offense took steps forward from 2025 scheme limitations.