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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on Sam Darnold
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about Sam Darnold.
66
Insights
12
Positive
16
Negative
Insight ledger
All FantasyPros Articles insights about Sam Darnold
NegativeInjurySep 16, 2026
Started and went 2-of-2 for 13 yards before being sacked and injured on Seattle's opening drive. Later ruled out; expected to miss close to four weeks with a glute injury. Drew Lock is the Week 2-and-beyond starter pending another injury or a colossal implosion.PositiveProjectionSep 16, 2026
Vikings ranked 17th in pass attempts per game with Darnold in 2024, significantly higher than fourth-fewest under J.J. McCarthy. Context for why Vikings' passing volume should improve if McCarthy is replaced, benefiting Justin Jefferson.PositiveInjurySep 15, 2026
The source indicates Darnold's injury is minor and the team isn't planning to place him on injured reserve, suggesting he will return soon and Drew Lock is only a short-term fill-in option.NegativeInjurySep 15, 2026
Darnold sustained a glute injury against the Patriots and is estimated to miss four weeks. With Darnold sidelined, Drew Lock becomes the next man up and is a low-end start in Superflex formats for those in need of a play.NegativeRoleSep 15, 2026
Seahawks quarterback; with Darnold healthy, Jaxon Smith-Njigba might be the only fantasy-relevant Seattle receiver; with Darnold injured, Smith-Njigba is definitely the only fantasy-relevant Seattle receiver.NegativeInjurySep 15, 2026
Darnold went down in Week 1, creating quarterback scarcity in the waiver wire market, particularly in superflex leagues where managers will seek replacements like Tyler Shough.NegativeInjurySep 14, 2026
Darnold suffered a hip injury from a hard sack in the first quarter of Week 1 that sent him to the medical tent. X-rays, CT scan, and MRI ruled out fracture or structural damage; the injury is primarily muscular. He is expected to miss Seattle's Week 2 divisional matchup against Arizona, with Drew Lock expected to start in his place.NegativeInjurySep 14, 2026
Darnold is out with a hip injury; his absence may lead Seattle to lean more on the running game early in the season.NegativeProjectionSep 11, 2026
Darnold had a dud performance in Week 1, getting injured during the opening series and being replaced by Drew Lock, who won the game in relief.NegativeProjectionSep 8, 2026
Sam Darnold is a fade for Week 1 despite a wonderful 2025 season from a real-life football perspective. His efficiency metrics (second in yards per attempt, seventh in success rate, first in highly accurate throw rate, fourth in hero throw rate among 38 qualifying passers) didn't translate to fantasy production in Seattle's run-centric offense; he finished as QB22 in fantasy points per game with only seven weekly QB1 finishes and eight finishes as QB24 or lower. Against New England's strong pass defense that returns most of its backbone (tenth-fewest yards per attempt, 12th-lowest passing success rate, 14th-fewest fantasy points via passing), Darnold is tough to consider as anything more than a mid-range QB2 for Week 1.NegativeProjectionSep 8, 2026
Ranked QB23 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings for 2026.NegativeProjectionSep 8, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB22 in 2026 fantasy football draft rankings from FantasyPros' consensus of most accurate experts.NegativeValueSep 8, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB22 with ADP of 133; consensus rank 223, expert consensus 153, with 22 spots of variance and 3-spot disagreement among experts.NegativeProjectionSep 7, 2026
Ranked QB22 in 2026 draft rankings with 301 projected passing yards and +10 differential; ADP rank 142.NegativeProjectionSep 5, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB22 in FantasyPros' consensus expert rankings for 2026; ADP consensus at 131 with range 213–154.NegativeProjectionSep 4, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in Superflex fantasy football draft rankings for 2026.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Sam Darnold is trending up with a +6 ADP movement, reflecting improved market perception of his fantasy value as Seattle's starting quarterback.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Sam Darnold ranks QB22 and has risen 6 spots in ADP, appearing on the trending-up list; the movement indicates growing market confidence.PositiveValueSep 3, 2026
Darnold is going at ADP 183 (QB24) and is described as 'by far the most appealing quarterback in this range.' He has posted QB9 and QB13 finishes over the past two seasons with 60 touchdown passes and 8.2 yards per pass attempt average, topping 4,000 yards in each of the last two seasons despite averaging just over 30 pass attempts per game. He could have spike weeks where he is a top-12 option at the position. Concerns include Seattle's run-heavy offense (third-highest in NFL) and the loss of offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, but Darnold gets Brian Fleury from the Kyle Shanahan coaching tree and returns his entire receiving corps led by Jaxon Smith-Njigba.NegativeProjectionSep 1, 2026
Ranked QB23 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings for 2026.NegativeProjectionAug 31, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB22 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 104 and projected 299 yards, 26 touchdowns.NegativeValueAug 29, 2026
Darnold ranks QB23 in consensus rankings with ADP range 128–202 and consensus 154, indicating late-round quarterback consideration with wide expert disagreement.NegativeProjectionAug 28, 2026
Ranked QB23 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings for 2026.NegativeDepth ChartAug 27, 2026
In eight-team shallow leagues, elite quarterbacks like Sam Darnold are unlikely to be available late in drafts; managers will not comfortably wait on him, making early quarterback investment necessary to secure a tier-1 option.NegativeProjectionAug 26, 2026
A steady faller, and the notes explain why the market is right to cool on him for fantasy even as he thrives in real life. Seattle finished 25th in neutral passing rate and dead last in passing rate when trailing, an offense built to run. Darnold was the QB22 in points per game last year with just seven weekly QB1 finishes, and nothing about the 2026 setup suggests that changes. A real-life success who remains a fantasy avoid.NegativeBustAug 25, 2026
Darnold grades as a mild positive-regression buy mechanically, but the source identifies it as a trap. Seattle finished 25th in neutral passing rate and dead last in passing rate when trailing, an offense built to not throw. He is a real-life success and a fantasy avoid regardless of what his touchdown rate does.NegativeProjectionAug 24, 2026
Ranked QB23 in 2026 consensus draft rankings with ADP of 296, ECR of 150.6, and a -4 movement from previous consensus.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
Darnold has put together two splendid seasons culminating in a Super Bowl victory with Seattle after seven seasons to find his footing as an NFL starter. Over the last two regular seasons, he completed 66.9% of his throws, averaged 8.2 yards per attempt, with 60 TD passes, 26 interceptions, and a passer rating of 100.9, finishing QB9 and QB13 in fantasy scoring. However, Darnold averaged only 28.1 pass attempts per game last season as Seattle ran the ball at the third-highest rate in the league. With new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury replacing Klint Kubiak, it's possible Seattle throws at a higher rate in 2026, which could boost Darnold's passing numbers.NegativeProjectionAug 22, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus rankings with an ADP of 131 and consensus rank of 212; projected for 156.1 fantasy points with 24.8 projected touchdowns.NegativeValueAug 21, 2026
Darnold is ranked QB22 with an ADP of 140, showing a 6-spot fall from his previous ranking, indicating negative market re-evaluation.NegativeProjectionAug 20, 2026
Darnold is a tier-6 sixth or seventh-round Superflex pick, ideally a No. 2 or No. 3 quarterback on Superflex rosters. No specific performance data or outlook is provided in the source material.PositiveValueAug 20, 2026
In shallow leagues (8-10 teams), elite quarterbacks like Sam Darnold should be prioritized earlier in drafts than standard advice suggests. The source notes that in shallow formats, managers are unlikely to 'wait' on elite QB options and feel comfortable starting Darnold, since every team will be fielding elite options at the position. This contrasts with standard-league advice to wait on QB, making Darnold a target for early-round consideration in shallow formats.NegativeProjectionAug 16, 2026
Darnold was solid but not elite for fantasy players last season, finishing as the QB13 and averaging 16.8 fantasy points per game. The veteran lost offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak to the Las Vegas Raiders. As long as he leans on Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Darnold should be a solid QB2 for fantasy players in superflex leagues.NegativeValueAug 15, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 overall with ADP range 138–203 and consensus rank 155.7; expert disagreement of 16.6 points reflects significant variance in expert consensus on his quarterback draft value.NegativeRoleAug 14, 2026
Sam Darnold's 2025 performance with Jaxon Smith-Njigba was outstanding, but uncertainty exists about whether he will continue at that level with new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury. Despite having Darnold as his quarterback, Smith-Njigba was exceptional last year, averaging 2.21 fantasy points per target, the second-best mark among qualifying wide receivers.PositiveValueAug 14, 2026
Sam Darnold gained 2 spots in ADP rankings, marking him as a riser; his QB23 ranking reflects improved draft sentiment for the Seattle quarterback.NegativeValueAug 14, 2026
Sam Darnold is cited as a low-end starter option that could result from the Hero Quarterback strategy if your league mates run on the position and you are forced to pivot; represents a downside scenario in superflex drafts.NegativeProjectionAug 12, 2026
Sam Darnold played well for the Seahawks in his first year in Seattle, but the veteran wasn't great for fantasy players. He finished as the QB24 on a points-per-game basis among qualifying quarterbacks, averaging 13.8 fantasy points per game. Furthermore, Darnold lost Klint Kubiak this offseason, and the team won't have an elite rushing attack. While he's a solid low-end QB2, Darnold is undraftable in standard-size leagues.NegativeProjectionAug 10, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in 2026 consensus draft rankings with ADP of 128 and projected 298 yards, 150.7 PPR points, 24.7 yards per attempt, and 4 attempts.PositiveProjectionAug 10, 2026
Ranked QB23 in 2026 draft rankings with 298 projected points and 24.7 points per game, showing positive ADP movement of +4 with exceptional per-game scoring projection.NegativeValueAug 9, 2026
Sam Darnold has fallen from QB22 to QB25 in ADP. Losing Klint Kubiak as playcaller will hurt his fantasy value. While Darnold has proven to be an effective starter, he is only worth taking as QB2 or QB3 in best ball leagues. Declan Doyle recommends buying the dip in best ball as a stable roster option, but in redraft leagues he is merely a streamer in the right matchup.NegativeRoleAug 9, 2026
Sam Darnold is the quarterback for the Seahawks and represents a potential dip in efficiency from the previous season. This is a concern for Jaxon Smith-Njigba's production despite his elite volume.NegativeValueAug 8, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB22 overall with ADP of 135 and consensus ranking of 185; expert consensus projects 153.7 PPR points with 14.6 PPR per game; ranked 10th among quarterbacks in expert consensus.NegativeRoleAug 7, 2026
Sam Darnold played out of his mind in 2025, which contributed to Jaxon Smith-Njigba's elite efficiency. The Seahawks ran pure with Darnold, but his performance level is unlikely to repeat at the same level, which could impact JSN's production.NegativeProjectionAug 7, 2026
Ranked QB24 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with an ADP of 72 overall; positioned as the 24th-ranked quarterback in the 2026 draft tier.NegativeProjectionAug 6, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in 2026 consensus fantasy football draft rankings with a projected ADP of 128, consensus rank of 297, and overall rank of 151.1; carries 24.9 projected points per game with 3 experts in consensus.NegativeProjectionAug 6, 2026
Ranked QB23 in 2026 draft rankings with 128 ADP, 297 projected points, 151.1 PPR points, and 24.9 standard points; +3 point variance indicates tight projection confidence.NegativeValueAug 5, 2026
Considered in Round 11 but passed over for C.J. Stroud; drafter notes that waiting to take Darnold for stack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba in final round may have been wiser.NegativeProjectionAug 4, 2026
Ranked QB24 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 126 and projected 126 fantasy points; 64.8% consistency rate with 10.4 projected touchdowns.NegativeValueAug 3, 2026
Sam Darnold is listed as a top late-round QB target for 2026 drafts, suggesting he represents value in the late rounds of draft strategy.NegativeProjectionAug 3, 2026
Ranked QB23 in 2026 consensus fantasy football draft rankings with 128 ADP, 282 projected passing attempts, 149.2 projected points, and 21.4 points per game.NegativeProjectionAug 3, 2026
Ranked QB23 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 128; projected 282 passing yards and 21.4 PPR points; ranked 144th overall.NegativeProjectionAug 2, 2026
Darnold played out of his mind in 2025, which contributed to Jaxon Smith-Njigba's elite efficiency. Regression from Darnold is expected in 2026, which could pressure Smith-Njigba's production.NegativeValueAug 1, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 with ADP consensus 150.6 and 18.8-point standard deviation; 7-point downward shift suggests recent negative sentiment around his quarterback play or Seattle's offensive outlook.NegativeValueAug 1, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 with consensus ADP of 147 and expert range of 138–208; consensus rank 150.6 with 18.8-point standard deviation and -7 movement from prior consensus, indicating significant expert disagreement and recent downward shift.PositiveRoleJul 30, 2026
Sam Darnold's 2024 Vikings offense ranked 17th in pass attempts per game, significantly higher than J.J. McCarthy's 2025 tenure (fourth-fewest), supporting the case for Justin Jefferson's improvement under a new quarterback.NegativeRoleJul 29, 2026
Sam Darnold was the Vikings' quarterback in 2024, when the team ranked 17th in pass attempts per game, providing context for the significant drop to fourth-fewest under J.J. McCarthy in 2025.NegativeProjectionJul 28, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 126 and projected scoring of 64.3 points.NegativeValueJul 25, 2026
In superflex leagues, Sam Darnold marks one the source's QB2 tier cutoff; both analysts get aggressive at the QB2 position, prioritizing draft capital for skill positions over their second quarterback slot.NegativeProjectionJul 25, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB23 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus rankings with an ADP of 143 and consensus rank of 143.9, indicating late-round quarterback valuation.NegativeProjectionJul 24, 2026
Sam Darnold ranked QB24 in superflex format with ADP 38 and projected 126 points; 64% consistency rating and 9.6 point average deviation.NegativeValueJul 23, 2026
One Bo Nix sets his superflex QB2 cutoff at Darnold, calling it one step above a warm body; he wants his fair share of running backs, wide receivers, and a good tight end, so he's comfortable pushing his second quarterback down significantly to this level, getting squeamish only at the very next name on the board.NegativeProjectionJul 21, 2026
Ranked QB24 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 47 and projected scoring of 126 points; positioned in tier 6.NegativeProjectionJul 21, 2026
Ranked QB24 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with an ADP of 47 and projected scoring of 64.2 points.PositiveValueNo date
Sam Darnold is ranked ahead of Baker Mayfield in dynasty trade-value rankings. The source describes this as a close call, with Darnold getting a small nod.PositiveValueNo date
Stacked with Jaxon Smith-Njigba; surprisingly low in ADP after winning Super Bowl last year; coming off back-to-back 4,000-yard campaigns and finished QB13 in 2025 total fantasy points; not flashy but gets the job done throwing to one of best wideouts in football; analyst notes 'sometimes boring is all you need.'