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FantasyPros Articles fantasy football takes on David Montgomery
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from FantasyPros Articles about David Montgomery.
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All FantasyPros Articles insights about David Montgomery
PositiveProjectionAug 24, 2026
Montgomery has been productive every season of his career; despite a career-low 158 carries last season with Detroit due to Jahmyr Gibbs' dominance, he still ran for 716 yards (4.5 yards per carry) and scored eight times; he will be the go-to running back for the Texans ahead of second-year player Woody Marks.NegativeValueAug 24, 2026
Ranked RB23 in FantasyPros draft rankings with ADP of 79 and average draft position of 55.3; positioned in tier 4 with a -7 ADP differential, indicating market overvaluation relative to consensus ranking.PositiveRoleAug 23, 2026
Montgomery is drafted as the lead ball-carrier for the Texans in Round 5, replacing Joe Mixon. While he may not catch many passes with Woody Marks in the backfield, Montgomery has scored at least eight rushing touchdowns in each of the last three seasons, providing consistent touchdown upside.NegativeProjectionAug 22, 2026
Montgomery's receiving production was held back by a lackluster route participation rate (24.6%, 47th among sample) rather than inefficiency as a receiver; he ranked 19th in yards per route run (1.25) and 40th in receiving yards per game (11.3), suggesting upside if route participation increases.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
Montgomery ranked 11th in rushing yards over expected per attempt (0.79) per NFL Next Gen Stats, sandwiched between Jaylen Warren and Jacory Croskey-Merritt (0.8 tied for 9th) and Blake Corum (0.78 for 12th); just ahead of former teammate Jahmyr Gibbs (0.7). He ranked 18th in yards per carry (4.53), 10th in yards after contact per attempt (2.45), and 19th in yards per route run (1.25) among 58 RBs with 70+ rush attempts and 52 RBs with 125+ routes.PositiveRoleAug 22, 2026
Montgomery has bell-cow potential as Houston's lead running back with the chops as a runner and receiver to warrant a hefty workload. Volume is king at running back, and Montgomery should have it in spades.PositiveValueAug 22, 2026
Montgomery's 49.7 ADP in half-PPR is a value; the source prefers him over Bucky Irving (46.7 ADP), Quinshon Judkins (44.3), Travis Etienne Jr. (41.3), and Garrett Wilson (45.0) in that range. Early fifth round is an excellent spot, and he's a steal as a sixth-round keeper.PositiveProjectionAug 22, 2026
David Montgomery was traded to the Houston Texans and will immediately bolster their backfield; he's scored at least eight touchdowns in each of his last three seasons, including last season with 158 carries (his lowest total); he's expected to be the bell-cow back for the Texans while Woody Marks handles passing-down work.NegativeValueAug 22, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked RB22 in FantasyPros' consensus draft rankings, with an ADP of 56 and a standard deviation of 6, showing consistent expert positioning in the mid-round range.NegativeValueAug 22, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB22 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus; ADP range 40–66 with consensus 54.1 but -7 variance, indicating experts view him as overvalued relative to market pricing.PositiveValueAug 21, 2026
David Montgomery (HOU RB23) shows a +1 ADP rise but a -8 value differential, indicating slight improving draft sentiment though the market is overvaluing the Texans running back.PositiveValueAug 21, 2026
Ranked up 1 spot to No. 56 in the latest riser/faller update, moving from No. 57 prior rank; ECR vs ADP shows -8 spread indicating significant market overvaluation.NegativeProjectionAug 21, 2026
Ranked RB23 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 75; projects 98 targets and 76.1 projected points with 8.5 points per game.PositiveValueAug 20, 2026
Montgomery is currently RB22, which is crazy for a player signed by Houston to handle all three downs and lead a team that should be competing for the playoffs. The ranking is due to his age (29), but if based on situation and talent—including elite pass blocking and the ability to catch out of the backfield (which was lost in Detroit due to Jahmyr Gibbs' elite ability)—Montgomery would be recognized as the top back he can be. At ECR 48 (late 4th round, early 5th), Montgomery is a player that could lead owners to championships who take top-tier wide receivers early and use him as the foundation of their backfield.NegativeValueAug 20, 2026
Ranked RB23 in FantasyPros draft rankings with ADP of 77 and consensus rank of 55.6; positioned in tier 4 of the draft board.NegativeProjectionAug 20, 2026
Ranked RB23 in FantasyPros draft rankings with ADP of 77 and projected 55.6 PPR points; positioned in tier 4 with -8 point variance from consensus, indicating downside risk relative to draft cost.PositiveBreakoutAug 19, 2026
Montgomery, currently RB24, has a viable path to RB1 status in Houston despite concerns about his 2025 Lions performance. The Texans addressed their league-worst offensive line by drafting Keylan Rutledge and adding Braden Smith and Wyatt Teller, with camp reports indicating vast improvement. Montgomery faces minimal backfield competition—Woody Marks is a second-year pass-catching specialist and Jawhar Jordan is a third-year sixth-round pick. The Texans' offense averaged 13th-most rushing attempts and points per game in 2025, meaning efficiency gains rather than volume increases could elevate Montgomery. Historical precedent: Joe Mixon finished RB9 in points per game in 2024 despite his offense scoring 1.7 fewer points per game than Houston's 2025 output, suggesting Montgomery's volume should drive confidence.PositiveRoleAug 18, 2026
Montgomery joins the Texans and is expected to improve the team's running game, which could reduce target opportunities for wide receivers like Nico Collins as the offense becomes more balanced.PositiveValueAug 18, 2026
Montgomery is one of Fanelli's favorite RB2 draft targets this year, especially when using a Hero RB strategy. Last season, Montgomery passed the torch to Jahmyr Gibbs. Yet, the veteran averaged 15.8 PPR fantasy points per game in 2024, the second-highest total of his career. More importantly, Montgomery will be the featured guy in Houston.NegativeProjectionAug 18, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB23 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with ADP of 52 and projected points of 97.PositiveValueAug 17, 2026
Montgomery makes the must-have list due to consistency, price point, and increased opportunities with Houston. At 29 years old, he is a downfield bruising runner who excels at the goal line and in short-yardage situations. He is set to handle his highest workload since 2019-2022 when he was Chicago's lead back. Splitting carries with Jahmyr Gibbs over the last three seasons has kept him fresh. Concerns about PPR value are overblown; Montgomery caught 96 passes in a two-year stretch and simply hasn't been asked to handle receiving duties while paired with Gibbs. Woody Marks is expected to be only a change-of-pace back.NegativeValueAug 17, 2026
David Montgomery is listed as a mid-round running back target for Hero RB strategy with an ADP of 53.2 (RB24). The source identifies him as a safe-floor option that fantasy players can plug into their RB2 or FLEX spot and feel solid about getting double-digit PPR fantasy points from most weeks.NegativeDepth ChartAug 15, 2026
Richard Janvrin noted that David Montgomery is expected to get more carries than Woody Marks in the Texans backfield.PositiveProjectionAug 15, 2026
Montgomery now serves as the Texans' do-it-all workhorse for 2026 after being phased out of Detroit's plans in 2025 (RB32 finish). In Weeks 12-18, he was RB43 with 32.1% snap rate, 8.2 touches per game, and 42.8 total yards per game. However, Montgomery retains elite per-touch metrics: ranked 12th in yards after contact per attempt, 22nd in yards per route run, and 12th in first downs per route run. He should absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024 (fifth in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, 13th in carries, 281 touches). Montgomery bested Woody Marks in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run—every key per-touch metric. He should be a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production.NegativeProjectionAug 15, 2026
Ranked RB22 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus with an ADP of 48 and consensus ranking of 65; average expert rank of 54.7 with 5.1-point standard deviation.NegativeValueAug 15, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB22 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus; ADP range 48–65 with consensus 54.7, indicating significant overvaluation relative to expert ranking (8-pick gap).NegativeProjectionAug 14, 2026
Ranked RB23 in superflex draft rankings with ADP 51; projected 114 carries, 76.6% carry share, 9.4 yards per carry, 75 rushing yards, 5 touchdowns.PositiveValueAug 13, 2026
Welsh targets David Montgomery as a late-round value (rounds 11+) for 2026 draft.PositiveProjectionAug 13, 2026
Montgomery is ranked RB20 in the source's low-end RB2 range and is recommended as the safer option if you went with a Zero-RB draft strategy, ahead of D'Andre Swift (RB22), Jadarian Price (RB23), and Bhayshul Tuten (RB24).PositiveRoleAug 13, 2026
The source identifies David Montgomery as a reliable veteran running back who fits the secondary phase of hybrid dynasty roster construction. Montgomery can still produce at a high level and may offer one or two more strong seasons. He supports the young core, stabilizes weekly scoring, and helps the roster compete immediately without disrupting the long-term structure of the team.NegativeValueAug 13, 2026
Ranked RB23 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 37.0 and average pick of 77; projected for 56.3 PPR points with 7.9-point standard deviation; negative ADP movement of -6 indicates declining draft interest.PositiveValueAug 12, 2026
One of Mike Fanelli's favorite safe-floor RB2 draft targets for 2026 with the Texans. Averaged 15.8 PPR fantasy points per game in 2024, the second-highest total of his career, after passing the torch to Jahmyr Gibbs in Detroit.PositiveRoleAug 12, 2026
David Montgomery has scored at least eight touchdowns in each of the last three seasons and heads to the Houston Texans team to be its lead back, positioning him as a consistent scoring threat in 2026.PositiveValueAug 11, 2026
Montgomery is a clear choice to draft in the middle rounds with a stable workload and undervalued draft price. The Texans signed him to a two-year deal and he immediately became the centerpiece of their run game. Montgomery has shown he can handle volume throughout his career, including a top-five PPR finish in Chicago. While that ceiling is unlikely to repeat, his floor remains one of the most stable in the league. Houston rebuilt its offensive line after a rough 2025 season, and Montgomery's physical style fits the offense they want to run. He also brings more receiving ability than his Detroit usage suggested, adding value in PPR formats. Being drafted as early as the seventh round, he walks into a workload most teams reserve for their No. 1 RB—handling early downs, short-yardage work and goal-line carries. Woody Marks may see passing-game snaps, but Montgomery is the player Houston trusts in high-leverage situations. He can be drafted as your RB1 in a Zero RB build without hesitation, getting guaranteed touches, a rebuilt line and top-16 potential at a mid-round price.NegativeRoleAug 10, 2026
Montgomery hoarded just over 42 percent of red-zone snaps and vultured six touchdowns from Jahmyr Gibbs last season, significantly limiting Gibbs' scoring upside in the Lions backfield. His departure opens the door for Gibbs to consolidate the backfield.PositiveProjectionAug 10, 2026
Is a strong RB2 with real RB1 upside, not a dead-zone back. He ranked top 12 in yards after contact per attempt and first downs per route run last year, and directly outperformed a more hyped teammate in nearly every efficiency category, including pass protection, despite that teammate getting more offseason buzz.NegativeProjectionAug 10, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked RB23 in the source's draft rankings with an ADP of 57.1, projected for 8.7 fantasy points per game and 60 total projected points; his ADP is 9 points below his projected value.NegativeValueAug 10, 2026
Ranked RB23 in FantasyPros draft rankings with ADP of 37.0 and average rank of 98; projected for 57.1 PPR points with 8.7-point standard deviation; ADP has fallen 9 spots, indicating declining market confidence.NegativeRoleAug 9, 2026
David Montgomery moved on from the Detroit Lions, clearing backfield volume for Jahmyr Gibbs.NegativeProjectionAug 8, 2026
Ranked as RB22 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus rankings with an ADP of 48 and consensus rank of 55.2; positioned in the mid-round running back tier.NegativeValueAug 8, 2026
Ranked RB22 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus with ADP of 48 and average draft position of 67; consensus rank of 55.2 with 5.6-round standard deviation.NegativeProjectionAug 7, 2026
Ranked RB23 in superflex fantasy football draft rankings with an ADP of 79 overall; positioned as the 23rd-ranked running back in the 2026 draft tier.PositiveRoleAug 6, 2026
Montgomery was traded to the Texans and joins a backfield that lacked efficient runners. Woody Marks averaged 3.6 yards per carry with 23% of carries going for zero or negative yardage. Montgomery will be the lead back.NegativeProjectionAug 6, 2026
David Montgomery (HOU RB23) is ranked 37th overall with a 58.3% consensus tier, 11 projected points, but carries a -8 ADP differential, indicating the market is overvaluing him relative to consensus expectations.NegativeProjectionAug 6, 2026
Ranked RB23 in 2026 draft rankings with 37 games projected, 117 carries, 58.3 yards per carry, and 11 projected touchdowns.NegativeRoleAug 5, 2026
Montgomery's receiving profile is a limiting factor; he hasn't topped 40 targets in any of the last four seasons, and the backfield posted one of the lowest team-wide running back target shares in the league last year. However, per-route efficiency metrics suggest real pass-catching ability remains, ranking well inside the top 25 among running backs in both first downs per route run and yards per route run last season.PositiveValueAug 5, 2026
Montgomery's ADP has barely moved year over year despite backfield changes, signaling market confidence in his continued role as Houston's primary early-down back. Houston boasts an elite defense and should frequently play with leads, setting up run-friendly game scripts; the offensive line improved significantly with free agency additions and a highly regarded rookie run blocker. A workload of 15+ carries per game looks realistic, and he remains a near-lock for goal-line work with double-digit touchdowns in two of the last three seasons. One the source who drafted him in a recent expert league views his floor as low-end RB2 and ceiling as low-end RB1, drawing a direct comparison to a prior season's high-volume bounce-back performance; on a per-touch efficiency basis, Montgomery graded out ahead of his presumed backfield complement in nearly every meaningful category last year.PositiveRoleAug 4, 2026
Montgomery is now Houston's do-it-all workhorse for 2026 after being phased out of Detroit's plans last season (RB32 in fantasy points per game, 32.1% snap rate in Weeks 12-18). Derek Brown projects Montgomery to absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024 (fifth in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, 13th in carries, 281 touches). Brown dismisses backfield-split concerns with Woody Marks, citing Montgomery's superior per-touch metrics: he bested Marks in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run. Montgomery ranked 30th in missed tackle rate last season but 12th in yards after contact per attempt and 22nd in yards per route run, with 12th in first downs per route run. Brown projects Montgomery as a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production.NegativeProjectionAug 4, 2026
Ranked RB23 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 131 and projected 131 fantasy points; 78.8% consistency rate with 10.8 projected touchdowns.NegativeProjectionAug 3, 2026
Ranked RB23 in 2026 draft rankings with 117 projected carries, 57.9 yards per carry, and 11.5 projected touchdowns; ADP movement of -6 indicates downward market pressure.NegativeRoleAug 2, 2026
Montgomery departed the Lions in free agency, clearing the path for Jahmyr Gibbs to have more touches and opportunity in the Detroit offense.NegativeProjectionAug 1, 2026
Ranked RB21 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus; ADP 45, high 64, low 53.5, with a 5.3-point standard deviation and -1 ADP differential.NegativeValueAug 1, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB21 in expert consensus with ADP of 45 and average draft position of 64; consensus projection of 53.5 PPR points with 5.3-point standard deviation and -1 rank movement indicating stable positioning.NegativeProjectionAug 1, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked RB21 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus rankings, with an ADP of 45 and consensus rank of 53 (53.5 average), reflecting mid-round running back expectations.NegativeValueAug 1, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB21 in expert consensus with ADP of 45 and average draft position of 64; consensus rank shows -1 movement from prior consensus.NegativeRoleJul 31, 2026
Montgomery has departed Detroit for Houston, clearing the way for Jahmyr Gibbs to operate as the unchecked bell cow rather than splitting goal-line work with Montgomery.NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
Ranked RB23 in superflex draft rankings with an ADP of 57 and a projected value of 116.NegativeValueJul 30, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB23 in FantasyPros draft rankings with an ADP of 38 and 99 total points projected.NegativeProjectionJul 30, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB23 in 2026 draft rankings with ADP of 99 and consensus rank of 58.1.PositiveRoleJul 29, 2026
David Montgomery struggled last season, but so did the entire Lions' offense. The Texans traded for him, signaling their intention to upgrade their running game from Woody Marks, who was miscast as a bell-cow back. Montgomery is positioned for heavy usage on a team with an elite defense that could turn the Texans into Super Bowl contenders, creating positive game scripts for him to rack up yardage.PositiveRoleJul 28, 2026
Montgomery's 2025 season with Detroit saw him phased out as the season progressed, finishing RB43 in fantasy points per game in Weeks 12-18 with only 32.1% snap rate, 8.2 touches per game, and 42.8 total yards per game, raising questions about his durability and role security despite his mid-round target status.PositiveValueJul 28, 2026
Derek Brown targets Montgomery as a mid-round value in 2026 after his RB32 finish in 2025 with Detroit. Montgomery joins Houston as the Texans' workhorse and should absorb a workload close to Joe Mixon's 2024 opportunity share (5th), snap share (14th), and carries (13th) among RBs, finishing with 281 touches. Brown projects Montgomery as a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production, citing superior per-touch metrics: he bested Woody Marks in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run.NegativeProjectionJul 28, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB24 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 116 and projected scoring of 79.3 points.NegativeProjectionJul 27, 2026
Ranked RB24 in 2026 draft rankings with 37 ADP, 99 projected yards, and 10.3 projected touchdowns; ranked 8 spots lower than previous ranking.NegativeProjectionJul 27, 2026
Ranked RB24 in FantasyPros draft rankings with 37 ADP, 99 projected points, 58.8% floor, 10.3 ceiling, and -8 change from prior ranking indicating recent downward movement.NegativeRoleJul 26, 2026
One Kenneth Walker is hesitant to trust Montgomery as her RB2 floor due to a pass-catching teammate eating into his passing-down role, a run-game context that doesn't push an aggressive pace, and a retooling offensive line that hasn't proven itself yet. She hasn't seen Montgomery handle a true three-down workload since his Chicago years, and while she believes he could do it again, she wants more information before trusting it as her RB2 floor.NegativeProjectionJul 25, 2026
The touchdown-equity case for Montgomery is real; this team invested real capital in him and figures to use him near the goal line. However, that outcome already feels baked into his current price, and there are several other names in this same range at running back, receiver, and tight end offering comparable or better risk-reward if the touchdowns don't show up.PositiveRoleJul 25, 2026
A report suggesting the two will split first-team camp reps is being framed as developmental rather than a real threat to Montgomery's role, but at his current price, the ideal outcome is something like a 70-30 workload split in his favor. A more realistic outcome closer to 60-40 would meaningfully cap his weekly ceiling relative to his cost. The backup struggled mightily as a rookie thrust into a bigger role than expected, finishing near the bottom of the league among high-volume backs in yards per carry, missed tackles forced, and yards after contact per attempt, but he was an excellent, target-earning pass catcher in college and has continued to show that skill.NegativeValueJul 25, 2026
Montgomery's price has crept up steadily all offseason to the point where one the source is no longer comfortable with it, now sitting around the second pick of the sixth round. There was real confidence in him right after his team traded real draft capital to acquire him, but the cost has now outpaced that confidence. Everything that made him look like a clear upgrade over his presumed backup last year gets shakier if this offensive situation isn't strong.NegativeProjectionJul 25, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB24 in FantasyPros' most accurate expert consensus with an average draft position of 52 and consensus rank of 98, reflecting mid-round running back valuation.NegativeValueJul 25, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked RB24 with an ADP of 52 and consensus rank of 63.3, showing a -8 variance from consensus; this indicates the market is overvaluing Montgomery relative to expert consensus.NegativeProjectionJul 24, 2026
David Montgomery ranked RB24 in superflex format with ADP 52 and projected 116 points; 79.3% consistency rating and 10.5 point average deviation.PositiveValueJul 23, 2026
Montgomery is ranked RB24 in ECR and represents the best RB value pick according to multiple sources. Despite Houston's offensive line struggles, Montgomery should receive most RB touches in what projects to be an improved line and offense. He finished RB27 last year with only 182 total touches while playing second fiddle to Jahmir Gibbs; now without Gibbs, he should approach 300 touches and finish at least RB24. Woody Marks poses minimal competition. Montgomery finished 2025 with 158 rushing carries for 716 yards and 8 TDs (4.5 yards per attempt), forced 29 missed tackles, and averaged 3.2 yards after contact per attempt. The Texans' elite defense and improved offensive line should enable a run-heavy game script. One source calls him a "3-down back" in the "2024 Joe Mixon role" with "RB10 numbers." He is locked in as a weekly high-end RB2 with upside for more.PositiveRoleJul 23, 2026
Montgomery was phased out of Detroit's offense late in 2025, finishing as RB32 in fantasy points per game overall but RB43 in Weeks 12-18 with only 32.1% snap rate and 8.2 touches per game. He now joins Houston as the workhorse back. Despite the late-season decline, Montgomery retains elite per-touch metrics: 12th in yards after contact per attempt, 22nd in yards per route run, and 12th in first downs per route run. The source expects him to absorb a workload similar to Joe Mixon's 2024 season (fifth in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, 13th in carries, 281 touches) and projects him as a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production, noting he outperformed Woody Marks in every per-touch metric.PositiveProjectionJul 21, 2026
Montgomery joined the Texans for significant draft capital with very little competition; Woody Marks, a fourth-rounder, ranked 48th among 49 backs with 100+ attempts in yards per carry (3.59), 48th in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 37th in yards after contact per attempt, proving better suited to a change-of-pace role. Montgomery is a superior pass-catcher and goal-line back, with youth being Marks' only advantage. If the Texans improve offensive line play and C.J. Stroud's performance, Montgomery can easily reach top-18 running back status; he was RB32 in fantasy points per game last season but has potential to be a top-15 back in 2026.PositiveProjectionJul 21, 2026
Montgomery is now the Texans' do-it-all workhorse for 2026 after being phased out of Detroit's plans in 2025, finishing as RB32 in fantasy points per game. The source projects Montgomery as a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production, expecting him to absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024 (5th in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, 13th in carries, 281 touches). Despite concerns about splitting work with Woody Marks, the source notes Montgomery bested Marks in every per-touch metric: explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run.NegativeProjectionJul 21, 2026
Ranked RB24 in superflex draft rankings with ADP of 57 and projected scoring of 115 points; positioned in tier 6.PositiveValueNo date
Montgomery is RB26 at MFL ADP 87.92 but represents strong value. The Texans traded an offensive lineman and two Day 3 picks for him, signaling heavy usage. Last season's Texans RB carries were split among Woody Marks (49.1%, averaging 3.6 yards per carry with 23% of carries going for zero or negative yards), Nick Chubb (30.6%, now gone), and Jawhar Jordan (10.8%). Montgomery had 38.8% of the Lions' carries last season, averaging 4.5 yards per carry with 30.4% of runs going for 5+ yards. While he may not be used much in the receiving game (5.3% target share with Lions), he should receive enough rushing volume to outpace this RB26 ADP.