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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Matthew Stafford
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Matthew Stafford.
15
Insights
11
Positive
3
Negative
Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Matthew Stafford
PositiveValueAug 6, 2026
Matthew Stafford could have been drafted as QB1 instead of Jordan Addison, allowing Jared Goff to be drafted as QB2 later. A Stafford-Goff-Khalil Shakir trio would feel more confident than an Addison-Goff-Tyler Shough combo.PositiveProjectionAug 6, 2026
Got advice from Tom Brady when it came to training; Stafford is four years younger than Aaron Rodgers; Brady retired at 46 and was never the athlete Stafford was, and never had Stafford's arm talent; Stafford has two of the best receivers in the league, a strong ground game, and a skilled offensive mind for a head coach; Zachariason would take him where he took Caleb Williams in other drafts if he had to.NegativeValueAug 6, 2026
Matthew Stafford has fallen 7 spots in FBG OC ADP, dropping from rank 96 to rank 103 (QB13), indicating declining draft interest in the Los Angeles Rams quarterback.NegativeRoleAug 5, 2026
The one real limiter for Stafford is rushing equity: he has posted 65 or fewer rushing yards for five straight seasons and just one rushing score since 2017, providing minimal upside from the ground game.PositiveValueAug 5, 2026
Stafford lost 42.15 expected points to drops last season, fifth-most in the NFL behind only Dak Prescott, Lawrence, Jared Goff, and Cam Ward. Eliminating even half those drops would make his numbers look even more dominant. His ADP at QB13 (eighth-round price) hasn't caught up to his QB2 finish. Harris advises: if waiting at quarterback, don't chase unproven upside -- chase discounted elite production, and Stafford is exactly that.PositiveProjectionAug 5, 2026
Stafford won his first MVP last season, leading the NFL with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdowns while completing 65% of passes. He delivered nine top-10 fantasy weeks (tied for third-most at position) and finished QB2 overall, his first top-10 finish since 2019. Bob Harris ranks him QB10 despite QB13 ADP at an eighth-round price, noting that with Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, a strong line, and Sean McVay calling plays, everything is in place for another high-end season.NegativeValueAug 5, 2026
Stafford is a preferred QBBC target ranked QB13; he is part of the source's QB Plan B strategy to take two or more quarterbacks after the top 10 are drafted and bank advantages at RB, WR, and TE.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
After last year, it's surprising Stafford is available this late; age is a big factor, but Stafford has always been a hard worker in the gym and has consulted Tom Brady to generate a quality training regimen; the Rams are an elite, balanced offense on the cutting edge of testing defenses, and Stafford has lost little as a thrower, meaning his arm is still better than most.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
Waldman selects Stafford as his QB in Draft No. 2, indicating he values Stafford as a middle-round QB option with upside comparable to his selections of Brock Purdy and Baker Mayfield in Draft No. 1.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
After last year, it's surprising Stafford is available this late in drafts. While age is a factor, Stafford has always been a hard worker in the gym and has consulted Tom Brady to generate a quality training regimen. The Rams are an elite, balanced offense on the cutting edge of testing defenses, and Stafford has lost little as a thrower—his arm is still better than most. Few trap doors with his game this year.PositiveValueJul 30, 2026
Waldman selects Stafford at pick 97 in Draft No. 2, indicating he values Stafford as a QB option with top-five ceiling potential in the middle rounds.NegativeProjectionJul 23, 2026
Stafford's 2025 season was an outlier—he paced the NFL in passing yards and touchdown passes, finished second in fantasy points, and won MVP, but the source calls him a 'Mirage' verdict; his 7.7% touchdown percentage was the highest of his 17-year career, he had just 44 combined touchdown passes in 2023-2024, and 2025 was his first 4,000-yard season since the Rams' 2021 Super Bowl win; while his QB12 ADP isn't unreasonable, Stafford is almost certainly going to regress in 2026.PositiveValueJul 19, 2026
Despite finishing QB2 in 2025, Stafford is priced as QB12 ADP in the seventh round and ranked QB14 on Footballguys projections, well below his finish. Underrated Quarterbacks ranks him QB10. He has limited rushing equity (65 or fewer rushing yards in five straight seasons, one rushing TD since 2017), but elite outcomes remain possible. With Puka Nacua and Davante Adams as dominant receivers, a strong offensive line, an effective rushing attack, and Sean McVay as one of the league's most innovative and aggressive playcallers, Stafford has everything needed for another high-end season. Even a step back from QB2 would make him a bargain at current cost.PositiveProjectionJul 19, 2026
Stafford lost 42.15 expected points added to drops in 2025, the fifth-highest total in the league per FTN Charting data. He ranked behind only Dak Prescott (70.15), Trevor Lawrence (67.58), Jared Goff (66.7), and Cam Ward (56.8). Had even half of those drops been secured, his already top-five efficiency numbers would have been even more dominant, suggesting his 2025 production was constrained by receiver execution rather than his own performance.PositiveProjectionJul 19, 2026
Stafford had arguably the best season of his career in 2025, winning his first MVP award and leading the Rams to the NFC Championship Game. He completed 65% for 4,707 yards (league-leading) and 46 TDs with 8 INTs, delivering nine top-10 fantasy weeks (tied for third-most at position) despite being drafted as QB25. He finished as QB2 overall, his first top-10 finish since 2019.