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Footballguys fantasy football takes on Travis Kelce
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Footballguys about Travis Kelce.
52
Insights
26
Positive
11
Negative
Insight ledger
All Footballguys insights about Travis Kelce
PositiveProjectionNov 2, 2026
Listed as a Three Star receiver selection for Week 9 DFS based on Vegas odds analysis and game scripting derived from opening NFL odds.PositiveInjuryOct 31, 2026
Travis Kelce was limited this week but carries no designation, indicating he's expected to play against Denver.NegativeProjectionOct 27, 2026
Kelce's 2.04 YPRR is on par with his career average, but his TPRR is down this season despite notable wide receiver weakness on the team. His previous elite route volume has waned to 28 RPG. Kelce will still have high-end TE1 moments but mixed with lesser results more often in this bounce-back season.NegativeProjectionOct 26, 2026
Kelce passed both Cris Carter and Marvin Harrison Jr., moving into fifth on the career receptions list with 1,104 receptions and 15,423 career receiving yards including playoffs. He surpassed Tony Gonzalez for the most tight end receiving yards in NFL history when combining regular-season and playoff production; Gonzalez leads in regular-season yardage (15,127 vs. 13,345), while Kelce laps him in playoff production (2,078 vs. 286).PositiveProjectionOct 24, 2026
Kelce needs two receptions to move into the Top 5 in NFL history for all-time receptions (currently 1,099, with Marvin Harrison Jr. at 1,102 for 5th and Cris Carter at 1,101 for 6th). With 35 receiving yards, he would pass Tony Gonzalez for the most yards by a tight end in regular season and postseason combined (Gonzalez holds 15,413). National Tight Ends Day provides a fitting backdrop for this milestone pursuit.NegativeProjectionOct 24, 2026
Kelce is listed as an 'Out' pick for Week 7 in the source's analysis, positioned to underperform expectations. The article indicates he does not merit a definite spot in lineups this week.NegativeProjectionOct 10, 2026
Kelce is close to moving into the Top 5 in receptions (currently 5 receptions away from Marvin Harrison's 1,102). The Chiefs have a Week 5 bye, pausing his climb toward this all-time milestone.NegativeValueOct 8, 2026
ADP 6, early-season rank 13, RoY rank 5; tight end showing underperformance relative to preseason ADP in early-season regression analysis.NegativeValueOct 3, 2026
Devin Knotts included Travis Kelce at $5,500 in his Week 4 FanDuel primary cash projection lineup.NegativeProjectionOct 3, 2026
Kelce sits tied with Tim Brown for 7th in all-time receptions; an eight-catch game could jump him into the Top 5. He needs 7 receptions to pass Cris Carter (1,101) and Marvin Harrison (1,102) for 5th-6th all-time. He needs 62 receiving yards to pass DeAndre Hopkins (13,233) and Torry Holt (13,703) for 17th-18th all-time. Kelce needs one receiving touchdown to move from a tie for 27th to a tie for 19th.NegativeProjectionOct 3, 2026
Travis Kelce posted 13.9 DraftKings points in Week 3 at $4,500 in the primary cash lineup.PositiveMatchupOct 1, 2026
Kelce had success against Indianapolis's vulnerable pass defense scheme, combining with Rashee Rice for 13 catches, 187 yards, and a touchdown while winning constantly in the intermediate range. The Colts' scheme leaves massive zones over the middle for drop-coverage linebackers, which allows tight ends like Kelce to exploit.PositiveMatchupOct 1, 2026
Travis Kelce is placed in the HIGH CEILING TE1 tier for Week 4 at Las Vegas, indicating the source views him as a strong starting option with upside potential.NegativeMatchupSep 30, 2026
Travis Kelce's matchup against Las Vegas is rated neutral by Dan Hindery. The Raiders have allowed the third-most points to tight ends so far, but they were tougher than average against the position last season, and three games is a small sample for tight ends, so the matchup rating accounts for this variance.PositiveMatchupSep 29, 2026
Travis Kelce is an obvious play in Week 4 against Las Vegas; Kansas City heads to Las Vegas with a 26-point implied total in a game carrying a 47.5-point over/under, and the Chiefs are favored by 4.5 points, which is more appealing than the double-digit spreads attached to other high-powered offenses this week.PositiveValueSep 27, 2026
Travis Kelce is included in the Week 3 primary cash lineup at $4,500, indicating the source views him as a strong DFS play for the week.PositiveProjectionSep 27, 2026
Travis Kelce is selected as a primary cash game tight end at $5,500 for Week 3 FanDuel slate.PositiveValueSep 26, 2026
Travis Kelce at $4,500 is coming off a huge Week 2 performance and somehow seems to be aging in reverse; he should appear in typical Week 3 DraftKings GPP builds as one of two common tight end options, with many lineups featuring both him and Dalton Schultz when entrants want to spend up from Chris Olave to Amon-Ra St. Brown.PositiveProjectionSep 26, 2026
Kelce is identified as a good play for Week 3, with Jerome Ford noting the market has tight ends about right this week aside from Andrews.NegativeValueSep 26, 2026
Travis Kelce is priced exactly right at 7.5 percent both rostered and optimal, making him fairly valued in the Kansas City offense.PositiveProjectionSep 26, 2026
Travis Kelce sits at 1,092 catches, the eighth most in NFL history. He could leap into fifth as early as this weekend, needing just 2 receptions to tie Marvin Harrison Jr. (1,102), Cris Carter (1,101), and Tim Brown (1,094). Kelce needs 24 receiving yards to tie DeAndre Hopkins (13,295) for 19th all-time. He needs two receiving touchdowns to move from a tie for 27th to a tie for 19th all-time.PositiveProjectionSep 25, 2026
Travis Kelce is highlighted as a TE with explosive scoring potential in Week 3, listed among players who could have a breakout week. He faces the Dolphins in a matchup with 46 expected total points.PositiveMatchupSep 24, 2026
Travis Kelce is placed in the HIGH CEILING TE1 tier for Week 3 with a road matchup at Miami, indicating strong upside potential for the week.PositiveProjectionSep 22, 2026
After trending down over the last few seasons, Kelce appears to have found a fountain of youth. His 86 yards per game are the most he's averaged since his overall TE1 season in 2020. Kelce is also playing with some juice, leading the NFL in yards after the catch. His 12 receptions are third among all tight ends. With a newfound run game and lack of receivers, Kelce is primed for a bounceback season. He was quietly fourth in receiving yards among tight ends last year and could improve on that total in 2026. He's just outside of the elite tier of tight ends, but still a must-start weekly option.PositiveRoleSep 22, 2026
Travis Kelce is a clear complementary piece for the Chiefs against Miami, though identifying which other complementary Chiefs player benefits most could be trickier beyond Rashee Rice.PositiveProjectionSep 22, 2026
Named as a Three Star receiver for Week 3 DFS, indicating strong game script appeal based on Vegas odds analysis for the Chiefs game.NegativeProjectionSep 20, 2026
Kelce's 59-yard catch-and-run from opening day was a solid run but exceptionally well-blocked through open grass and not indicative of an intriguing role. His 5 targets were thrown exclusively underneath and spread across just 49 snaps; those 71 yards feel like his high-water expectation for this retirement tour.PositiveProjectionSep 20, 2026
Kelce sits at 1,083 career receptions, the 8th most in NFL history. He passed Jason Witten for the second most yards by a tight end all-time in Week 1 and can pass Steve Largent for 21st in NFL history with just 16 receiving yards. He needs 11 receptions to pass Tim Brown for 7th all-time in receptions.NegativeProjectionSep 19, 2026
Kelce's TE4 Footballguys projection (11.18 points) seemed high to the source despite his historical success against Denver. Denver's defense ranked second in total defense, third in scoring defense, and led the NFL in sacks. The source predicted Kelce would finish outside the top 10. Kelce finished TE16, validating the source's fade of the aggressive projection.PositiveUsageSep 18, 2026
Travis Kelce recorded 21% target share in Week 1 with 79% route participation, indicating consistent involvement in the Chiefs' passing game.NegativeMatchupSep 17, 2026
Classified in HIGH FLOOR TE1 tier for Week 2 matchup vs IND; positioned as a reliable tight end with consistent floor.NegativeProjectionSep 13, 2026
Travis Kelce turns 37 next month, raising questions about whether his body can withstand another NFL season. The good news is Week 1 is likely the freshest he'll be all season long.NegativeProjectionSep 12, 2026
Kelce is highlighted as an 'Out' pick for Week 1, meaning the source does not expect him to hit his Footballguys projection. He is among four players the source fades, positioned to underperform expectations.PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
Included in HIGH FLOOR TE1 tier for Week 1 home matchup versus Denver, indicating strong floor and reliable starting option.PositiveProjectionSep 10, 2026
Kelce is highlighted as a player with potential for an explosive scoring week in Week 1; he is part of the Chiefs' Monday night matchup against the Broncos.NegativeBustSep 6, 2026
Travis Kelce received 2 votes as the most overrated tight end in the industry expert poll, with voters including Andy Holloway and Pat Thorman.NegativeProjectionSep 5, 2026
Ranked TE6 with 204.6 projected fantasy points and 9.7 FPs/$ ratio; ROI rank of 35 among tight ends in contest strategy analysis.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Kelce ranks TE6 with 204.6 projected fantasy points, 9.7 FPs per dollar, and ROI rank of 35, qualifying for top-35 value at tight end despite lower efficiency relative to cost.PositiveValueSep 5, 2026
Kelce received 4 votes from industry experts in a poll on the most underrated tight end heading into the 2026 season, placing him among the top underrated options. Voters included Jeff Mans, Davis Mattek, Jeff Ratcliffe, and Alan Seslowsky.PositiveValueSep 4, 2026
Travis Kelce rose 1 positional rank from TE12 to TE11 between April and August, with ADP declining from 127.6 to 124.0 (3.6-point drop), showing modest improvement in the source's assessment.NegativeRoleSep 1, 2026
Listed as a late-round tight end option; the source notes these players are much riskier than the recommended tier of tight ends, but still represent quality options if the recommended tier was missed.NegativeBustAug 29, 2026
Travis Kelce is ranked TE11/109 overall but the source avoids him due to his age-36 season offering no upside, suggesting declining production and limited ceiling.NegativeBustAug 14, 2026
JJ Zachariason included Kelce in a 'Hate Draft' at pick 108 (TE), part of a draft strategy that waited until late to add tight end, suggesting early TE selection is not aligned with his preferred draft approach.NegativeProjectionAug 14, 2026
JJ Zachariason criticizes Travis Kelce in the Hate Draft, noting the prime years are likely over and Jakobi Meyers or Jayden Higgins might have similar floors with higher upside at wide receiver in this range; Chig Okonkwo or Juwan Johnson have similar floors and upside if Dallas Geodert or Mark Andrews don't fall.NegativeValueAug 8, 2026
Travis Kelce has fallen 6 spots in DraftKings Best-Ball ADP, moving from 119 to 125, now ranked TE13 overall. The downward movement indicates declining market confidence in the tight end.PositiveValueAug 6, 2026
Travis Kelce has risen 11 spots in FBG OC ADP, moving from rank 130 to rank 119 (TE12), showing renewed draft interest in the Kansas City tight end.PositiveRoleAug 2, 2026
Chiefs TE Travis Kelce laughed off any offseason retirement chatter and will return as a central target for the 2026 season, confirming his continued role in Kansas City's offense.NegativeProjectionJul 29, 2026
Travis Kelce was outperformed by Kyle Pitts in 2025 despite Pitts playing in a 24th-ranked scoring offense.NegativeProjectionJul 29, 2026
Travis Kelce was outperformed by Kyle Pitts in 2025, when Pitts finished as TE2 overall while Kelce did not finish in the top tier despite his historical elite status.NegativeProjectionJul 29, 2026
Travis Kelce was outperformed by Kyle Pitts in 2025, when Pitts finished as TE2 overall despite Atlanta finishing 24th in scoring. This comparison underscores the strength of Pitts' 2025 breakout.NegativeProjectionJul 29, 2026
Travis Kelce was outperformed by Kyle Pitts in 2025, when Pitts finished as TE2 overall despite Atlanta finishing 24th in scoring. This comparison underscores Pitts' elite production relative to the league's other top tight ends.PositiveValueJul 15, 2026
Jason Wood ranks Kelce as TE7 versus consensus TE9 (ADP 10), a 2.5-rank gap favoring Kelce. Wood dismisses offseason concerns about Kelce falling off the cliff, noting the Chiefs roster cannot function as a playoff contender without peppering Kelce with his usual high target share. Kelce was TE4 last season (TE9 on a per-game basis) despite Patrick Mahomes II being hurt for part of the season. Wood has medium odds of adjusting if Mahomes' ACL recovery lags or Kelce suffers a soft-tissue injury in camp, but otherwise sees no reason to think his baseline has changed, with touchdown variance offering further upside.